Copy of FIGHTASTIC Past Picks Archive

UFC 325 — 1-Fight Past Pick

Main Event: Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes 2
Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
Venue: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia
Broadcast: Paramount+
Main Event Time: 8:30 PM PST

This pick was released to members on Friday, January 30, 2026 at 7:47 PM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Fight 1 (8:30 PM PST): Alexander Volkanovski (-160) vs Diego Lopes (+135)

Records: Volkanovski 27-4-0 · Lopes 27-7-0

BETTING ODDS (click to expand)

Market	Line
Volkanovski Moneyline	-160
Lopes Moneyline	+135
Fight Goes the Distance (YES)	+100

Note: Odds reflect listed lines at time of posting and may move.

TALE OF THE TAPE

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) is a championship-level pace manager — sharp jabs, layered feints, disciplined exits, and veteran shot selection. He wins minutes by controlling range, denying clean entries, and forcing opponents to work for every exchange.

Diego Lopes (27-7-0) is a dangerous finisher with high-threat grappling and opportunistic submissions. He can swing fights fast if he forces scrambles, creates chaos in transitions, or catches opponents overextending into the pocket.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Volkanovski — Strengths: pace control, cardio, fight IQ, layered striking, defensive discipline; Weaknesses: can be clipped if he trades too long at mid-range or gets drawn into brawling sequences.

Lopes — Strengths: submission threat, scrambles, finishing instincts, opportunistic timing; Weaknesses: can drop minutes if forced to chase at range and reset repeatedly without clean grappling entry points.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Volkanovski: Win the range battle with footwork + jab, punish entries with counters, and mix in selective takedowns/clinches to break rhythm and bank rounds.
• Lopes: Turn exchanges into chaos — force scrambles, threaten submissions early, and make Volk hesitate in the pocket by creating high-risk finishing windows.

Tactical Edge: Alexander Volkanovski — proven championship pacing, cleaner minute-winning process, and better control of where the fight takes place.

Prediction

This turns into a five-round chess match: Volk manages the danger, Lopes has moments, but the pace and adjustments stretch the fight deep.

PICK & WAGER INFO

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Fight to go the distance (YES) +100

Bet Type: Fight Goes Distance (Yes)

Odds: +100

Confidence Rating: 1.00 Unit (1%) — Low-Risk Exposure

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Volkanovski vs Lopes 2	Goes Distance (Yes) (+100)	1.00 Unit	WIN +1.00 Units
Net Result (This Pick)			NET +1.00 Units

Callum Walsh vs Carlos Ocampo — Past Pick

Division: Middleweight (Boxing)
Scheduled Rounds: 10
Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
Location: Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast: Paramount+
Main Event Time: 8:00 PM PST / 11:00 PM EST

This pick was released to members on Friday, January 23, 2026 at 8:30 AM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Callum Walsh (-800) vs Carlos Ocampo (+450)

Records: Walsh 10-0-0 (9 KOs) · Ocampo 35-3-0 (22 KOs)

BETTING ODDS

TALE OF THE TAPE

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Callum Walsh (10-0, 9 KOs) is a pressure-first southpaw with heavy hands and a simple mission: take space, touch the body, and force exchanges until opponents break. He’s been ending fights early, but this matchup tests patience and pacing against a veteran who knows how to survive storms.

Carlos Ocampo (35-3, 22 KOs) is durable, experienced, and comfortable taking fights into later rounds. He’s not here to win minutes — he’s here to stay upright, drag the favorite into uncomfortable time, and make Walsh earn every clean look. If he can slow the tempo and force resets, the fight stretches.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Walsh — Strengths: southpaw power, pressure, finishing instincts, body work; Weaknesses: can overcommit chasing the KO and burn energy if the opponent won’t fold.

Ocampo — Strengths: experience, durability, composure under fire, ability to extend fights; Weaknesses: can get outpaced early and give away rounds if he’s too defensive.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Walsh: Start fast with controlled pressure, invest in body shots early, and win clean rounds without chasing a single kill shot.
• Ocampo: Survive the early push, slow the pace through defense and clinch moments, and force Walsh to work late where mistakes show up.

Tactical Edge: The line says Walsh by domination — but Ocampo’s durability and experience keep the “easy finish” from being automatic.

Prediction

Walsh wins the fight, but Ocampo’s toughness and survival instincts make the finish less predictable than the moneyline suggests — this one has real “long night” potential.

PICK & WAGER INFO

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Fight Goes the Distance (YES) +105

Bet Type: Fight Goes Distance

Odds: +105

Confidence Rating: 1.00 Unit (1%) — Low-Risk Exposure

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Walsh vs Ocampo	Goes Distance (Yes) (+105)	1.00 Unit	WIN +1.05 Units
Net Result (This Pick)			NET +1.05 Units

Nikita Tszyu vs Michael Zerafa

Division: Middleweight (Boxing)
Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
Broadcast: TBA
Location: Brisbane Entertainment Centre, Brisbane, Australia
Event Time (Estimated Ringwalks): 3:00 AM PST / 6:00 AM EST / 11:00 AM UTC / 11:00 AM GMT

This pick was released to members on Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 5:24 PM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Nikita Tszyu (11-0-0, 9 KOs) -150 vs Michael Zerafa (34-5-0, 22 KOs) +120

TALE OF THE TAPE

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Nikita Tszyu (11-0-0, 9 KOs) is a sharp, aggressive southpaw with fast hands and real finishing intent. He pressures behind combinations, breaks rhythm with speed, and looks to escalate damage as rounds progress.

Michael Zerafa (34-5-0, 22 KOs) is a seasoned, physical orthodox fighter with veteran timing and a willingness to trade. He’s dangerous when he can set his feet and counter, and his experience shows in slower, tactical stretches.

FIGHTASTIC PICK

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Fight to End in Round 9 or Later -140

Bet Type: Fight Duration Prop

Odds: Round 9+ / Decision -140

Confidence Rating: 3.00 Units (High Confidence)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Nikita Tszyu vs Michael Zerafa	Fight to end 9th round or later (-140)	3.00 Units	REFUNDED (0.00 Units)
Net Result (This Pick)			NET 0.00 Units

Alexis Rocha vs Raul Curiel

Division: Welterweight · 12 Rounds
Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
Broadcast: DAZN
Venue: Acrisure Arena (Greater Palm Springs), Palm Desert, CA
Main Card Start: 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT
Prelims: 4:30 PM ET / 1:30 PM PT
Estimated Main Event Ringwalks: ~11:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM PT

This pick was released to members on Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 6:31 AM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Alexis Rocha (25-2-1, +100) vs Raul Curiel (16-0-1, -130)

TALE OF THE TAPE

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Alexis Rocha (25-2-1, +100) is a pressure-oriented welterweight who likes to work behind volume, dig to the body, and build momentum with sustained exchanges. He’s comfortable winning rounds with activity and physicality.

Raul Curiel (16-0-1, -130) is an unbeaten, controlled pressure fighter with heavy hands and a steady pace. He’s patient enough to bank rounds, but dangerous when he decides to step on the gas.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Rocha — Strengths: volume, body work, pressure, experience; Weaknesses: can be drawn into close rounds if output slows.

Curiel — Strengths: composure, power threat, steady pace; Weaknesses: can concede moments if he fights too measured early.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Rocha: Push pace early, win exchanges with volume, and stack rounds with body-head work.
• Curiel: Stay calm, land the cleaner power shots, and control tempo while avoiding extended brawls.

Tactical Read: Even physical profiles + real durability on both sides = strong “rounds” profile.

FIGHTASTIC PICK

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Fight to go the full 12 rounds -250

Confidence Rating: 3.00 Units (High Confidence)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Alexis Rocha vs Raul Curiel	Fight Goes Distance (Yes) (-250)	3.00 Units	REFUNDED (0.00 Units)
Net Result (This Pick)			NET 0.00 Units

Subriel Matias vs Dalton Smith

Title Fight: WBC Junior Welterweight Championship
Date: Friday, January 10, 2026
Location: Brooklyn, New York
Broadcast: PPV.com
Rounds: 12 Rounds
Event Time: 8:00 PM PST

This pick was released to members on Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 12:18 PM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Subriel Matias (23-2, 22 KOs) -160 vs Dalton Smith (18-0, 13 KOs) +125

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Subriel Matias (23-2, 22 KOs, -160) is a violent pressure fighter who wins by forcing high-volume exchanges and breaking opponents down with sustained heat. He thrives when the fight gets physical — body work, attrition, and relentless forward steps that drain a boxer’s legs and composure.

Dalton Smith (18-0, 13 KOs, +125) is a poised, technical boxer-puncher with clean fundamentals, sharp shot selection, and the discipline to win rounds at range. He’s at his best when he can control tempo with jabs, angles, and measured combinations — keeping fights “boxed,” not brawled.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Matias — Strengths: pressure, volume, durability, body work, late-round grind; Weaknesses: can give up early rounds while walking through shots to start his engine.

Smith — Strengths: technique, timing, composure, round management; Weaknesses: must prove he can hold form under sustained elite pressure for 12.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Matias: Crowd the space, invest in the body, force exchanges, and turn the second half into a pressure cooker.
• Smith: Stay long early, bank rounds with the jab and straight shots, clinch/smother pressure, and avoid extended trades.

Tactical Edge: Subriel Matias — proven pressure system and finishing power in the late rounds.

FIGHTASTIC PICK

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Subriel Matias -160

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: Subriel Matias -160 · Dalton Smith +125

Confidence Rating: 3.00 Units (High Confidence)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Subriel Matias vs Dalton Smith	Matias Moneyline (-160)	3.00 Units	LOSS -3.00 Units
Net Result (This Pick)			NET -3.00 Units

Amanda Serrano vs Reina Tellez

Title Fight: WBO & WBA Women’s Featherweight Championships
Date: Friday, January 3, 2026
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Broadcast: DAZN
Rounds: 10 Rounds
Event Time: 7:00 PM PST

This pick was released to members on Friday, January 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Amanda Serrano (48-4-1, -3000) vs Reina Tellez (13-1-1, +900)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Amanda Serrano (48-4-1) is one of the most accomplished fighters in women’s boxing history. She brings relentless pressure, elite conditioning, heavy volume, and the ability to control fights both technically and physically over championship rounds.

Reina Tellez (13-1-1) is a tough, determined challenger with grit and durability. While game and willing to engage, she faces a massive step up in class, pace, and championship-level experience.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Serrano — Strengths: elite volume, pressure, power, cardio, championship experience; Weaknesses: occasionally opts to box conservatively when far ahead.

Tellez — Strengths: toughness, willingness to trade, durability; Weaknesses: defensive gaps, limited experience against elite, high-volume champions.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Serrano: Control distance, outwork Tellez with volume, and dominate rounds without unnecessary risk.
• Tellez: Stay upright, absorb pressure, and hope to survive into later rounds.

Tactical Edge: Amanda Serrano — overwhelming volume, experience, and round-winning consistency.

Prediction

Serrano dominates behind the jab, pressure, and pace, comfortably banking rounds en route to a wide decision.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Amanda Serrano by Decision / Points

Primary Betting Angle:

• Method of Victory: Amanda Serrano on Points (+150)

Bet Type: Method of Victory — Decision / Points

Odds: Amanda Serrano by Decision +150

Confidence Rating: 1.00 Unit (Low Exposure)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Amanda Serrano vs Reina Tellez	Serrano by Decision / Points (+150)	1.00 Unit	WIN +1.50 Units
Net Result (This Pick)			NET +1.50 Units

Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso

Title Fight: Undisputed Junior Featherweight Championship
Date: Friday, December 27, 2025
Location: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Broadcast: DAZN
Time: 10:00 AM PST

This pick was released to members on Monday, December 22, 2025 at 5:57 PM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Naoya Inoue (-3000) vs David Picasso (+900)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Naoya Inoue is one of the most complete fighters in boxing — elite hand speed, devastating power in both hands, precision body work, and ruthless finishing instincts. He systematically breaks opponents down, escalating damage round by round until resistance collapses.

David Picasso is a tough, ambitious challenger with respectable fundamentals, movement, and durability. He brings youth, hunger, and volume, but faces a massive leap in class against one of the sport’s pound-for-pound elites.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Inoue — Strengths: elite power, precision timing, body-head combinations, ring IQ, killer instinct; Weaknesses: minimal — tends to start methodically rather than blitzing early.

Picasso — Strengths: youth, movement, willingness to engage; Weaknesses: defensive gaps, limited experience against world-class power punchers.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Inoue: Apply calculated pressure, invest heavily in the body, and force a late-round breakdown or stoppage.
• Picasso: Survive early, use movement and volume, and attempt to extend the fight into deep waters.

Tactical Edge: Naoya Inoue — overwhelming power, precision, and championship-level finishing ability.

Prediction

Inoue dissects the challenger with surgical pressure, gradually increases damage, and ends the fight once Picasso slows under sustained punishment.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Naoya Inoue

Primary Betting Angle:

• Fight to end in Round 7 or later (-125)

Bet Type: Round Total / Fight Duration Prop

Odds: Fight to end in Round 7 or later -125

Confidence Rating: 3.00 Units (High Confidence)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso	Fight to end Round 7 or later (-125)	3.00 Units	WIN +2.40 Units
Net Result (This Pick)			NET +2.40 Units

These picks were released to members on December 9, 2025 at 7:08 AM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Fight 1 (Prelims · 5:15 PM PST): Melissa Croden (7-2-0) +110 vs Luana Santos (9-2-0) -130

Event: UFC Fight Night · Royval vs Kape
Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
Time: 5:15 PM PST (Prelims)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Melissa Croden (7-2-0, +110) is a rangy striker with a solid jab, active kicking game, and willingness to throw volume. She does her best work when she’s first — getting combinations off before opponents can set their feet.

Luana Santos (9-2-0, -130) is a compact, well-rounded fighter with sharp boxing, strong clinch work, and capable top control. She carries real physicality into her fights and is comfortable winning both striking and grappling phases.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Croden — Strengths: length, volume, straight-line punches, and kicks at range; Weaknesses: can be walked down, pinned to the fence, and outmuscled in clinch/grappling sequences.

Santos — Strengths: cage pressure, clean boxing, clinch control, and takedown threats; Weaknesses: can get out-volumed if she allows the fight to stay at long range too long.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Croden: Keep the fight at kicking distance, jab first, circle off the fence, and pile up strikes from the outside.
• Santos: Pressure forward, back Croden up, win pocket exchanges with combinations, and mix in clinch/takedown looks.

Tactical Edge: Luana Santos — better physicality, more reliable clinch control, and additional grappling layers.

Prediction

Santos walks Croden down, wins the cage position battle, lands the cleaner work in the pocket, and sprinkles in control time to secure the scorecards.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Luana Santos -130

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: Melissa Croden +110 · Luana Santos -130

Confidence Rating: 3.00 Units (High Confidence)

Fight 2 (Prelims · 7:15 PM PST): Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) +145 vs Gillian Robertson (16-8-0) -170

Event: UFC Fight Night · Royval vs Kape
Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
Time: 7:15 PM PST (Prelims)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Amanda Lemos (15-5-1, +145) is a powerful striker with serious pop in her hands and legs. She’s dangerous early, especially when she can set up big counters and low kicks while fights are still clean and technical.

Gillian Robertson (16-8-0, -170) is a veteran grappler with a suffocating top game, relentless pursuit of the back, and a deep submission arsenal. She’s built to punish opponents who struggle to get off the cage or stand up once grounded.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Gillian Robertson -170

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: Amanda Lemos +145 · Gillian Robertson -170

Confidence Rating: 4.00 Units (Aggressive Position)

Fight 3 (Main Event · 10:15 PM PST): Brandon Royval (17-8-0) +240 vs Manel Kape (21-7-0) -250

Event: UFC Fight Night · Royval vs Kape
Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
Time: 10:15 PM PST (Main Event)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Brandon Royval (17-8-0, +240) is a chaos engine: nonstop pressure, wild but effective striking, and relentless scrambling with real submission bite. He thrives in messy, high-tempo fights where discipline cracks.

Manel Kape (21-7-0, -250) is a sharp, explosive counter-striker with big-time power for flyweight. He’s at his best when opponents overextend, walking onto counters that swing rounds or shut the lights off.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Brandon Royval +240

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: Brandon Royval +240 · Manel Kape -250

Confidence Rating: 1.00 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure / Underdog Shot)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos	Luana Santos -130	3.00 Units	WIN +2.31 Units
Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson	Gillian Robertson -170	4.00 Units	VOID ±0.00 Units
Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape	Brandon Royval +240	1.00 Unit	LOSS −1.00 Unit
Net Result (This Card)			NET +1.31 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

These picks were released to members on December 2, 2025 at 11:15 AM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Fight 1 (Prelims · 6:45 PM PST): Grant Dawson (23-2-1) -210 vs Manuel Torres (16-3-0) +170

Event: UFC 323 · Dvalishvili vs Yan 2
Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM PST (Prelims)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Grant Dawson (23-2-1, -210) is a suffocating, chain-wrestling grappler who lives on the mat. He uses level changes, cage pressure, and persistence to drag fights to the ground and stack control minutes while chipping away with strikes.

Manuel Torres (16-3-0, +170) is a dangerous, explosive finisher with sharp boxing combinations, heavy kicks, and aggressive counters. He thrives in chaos and looks to turn every exchange into a finishing opportunity.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Dawson — Strengths: relentless takedown pressure, top control, cardio over three rounds; Weaknesses: striking defense can be basic when entries get predictable.

Torres — Strengths: power, finishing instincts, explosive counters; Weaknesses: defensive grappling and get-ups lag behind his offense, especially late.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Dawson: Close distance early, chain wrestle into takedowns, stay glued to top position, and grind out control-heavy rounds.
• Torres: Stuff early shots, punish entries with counters, and hunt a big finishing moment in scrambles or wild exchanges.

Tactical Edge: Grant Dawson — proven cardio and wrestling volume against a dangerous but defendable finisher.

Prediction

Dawson survives the early heat, drags Torres to the mat repeatedly, and wears him down across three grinding rounds.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Grant Dawson -210

Why?

• Wrestling volume: Dawson’s chain shots and cage pressure create multiple takedown opportunities per round.
• Cardio & control: His style is built to bank minutes, not moments — perfect against a bursty finisher.
• Stylistic matchup: Torres’ best weapons come on the feet; Dawson’s A-game lives on the mat.

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: Grant Dawson -210 · Manuel Torres +170

Confidence Rating: 3.00 Units (High Confidence)

Fight 2 (Co-Main Event · 8:45 PM PST): Alexandre Pantoja (30-5-0) -225 vs Joshua Van (15-2-0) +185

Event: UFC 323 · Dvalishvili vs Yan 2
Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
Time: 8:45 PM PST (Co-Main Event)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Alexandre Pantoja (30-5-0, -225) is a ruthless, pressure-first flyweight champion with elite back-taking, slick submissions, and heavy hooks in the pocket. He thrives in scrambles and loves to turn fights into gritty, exhausting wars.

Joshua Van (15-2-0, +185) is a sharp, fast striker with clean combinations, footwork, and improving grappling defense. He brings volume, youth, and confidence into every exchange.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Pantoja — Strengths: pressure, back-taking, submission arsenal, championship experience; Weaknesses: takes damage in wild exchanges and can slow if pushed into frantic pace wars.

Van — Strengths: speed, volume striking, movement; Weaknesses: still developing defensive grappling and experience at the absolute elite level.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Pantoja: Crash the pocket, force scrambles, hunt the back, and threaten chokes while walking Van down.
• Van: Stay mobile, snipe with straight shots, stuff early attempts, and keep the fight at mid-range where his speed shines.

Tactical Edge: Alexandre Pantoja — proven five-round toughness, dangerous grappling, and chaos-tested style.

Prediction

Pantoja drags Van into deeper waters, mixes wild exchanges with grappling pressure, and breaks him down over the stretch.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Alexandre Pantoja -225

Why?

• Scramble danger: Any sloppy exchange can turn into Pantoja on the back hunting a choke.
• Experience edge: Far more time logged against killers at the top of the division.
• Pressure & pace: Pantoja’s style forces Van to defend perfectly for long stretches — a tough ask.

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: Alexandre Pantoja -225 · Joshua Van +185

Confidence Rating: 4.00 Units (Aggressive Position)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Grant Dawson vs Manuel Torres	Grant Dawson -210	3.00 Units	LOSS -3.00 Units
Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van	Alexandre Pantoja -225	4.00 Units	LOSS -4.00 Units
Net Result (This Card)			NET -7.00 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

These picks were released to members on November 17, 2025 at 4:50 PM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Fight 1 (Prelims · 9:30 AM PST): Bogdan Grad (15-3-0) +230 vs Luke Riley (11-0-0) -285

Event: UFC Fight Night · Tsarukyan vs Hooker
Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
Time: 9:30 AM PST (Prelims)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Bogdan Grad (15-3-0, +230) is a long, sharp outside striker with high-output combinations, slick counters, and veteran composure in wild exchanges. He thrives when opponents try to pressure without layers.

Luke Riley (11-0-0, -285) brings undefeated momentum with bladed footwork, tight boxing, and a relentless forward pace. Riley overwhelms opponents with volume, accuracy, and suffocating pressure.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Grad — Strengths: range striking, counter timing, accuracy; Weaknesses: can be backed up to cage and forced to shell.

Riley — Strengths: pressure, combinations, constant pace; Weaknesses: hittable early and can lose moments against sharp timing strikers.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Grad: Maintain range, counter Riley’s entries, land clean straight shots and disrupt pressure.
• Riley: Force exchanges, cut angles, drown Grad in volume and forward pace.

Tactical Edge: Bogdan Grad — cleaner long-range accuracy and counter opportunities versus an aggressive, hittable pressure style.

Prediction

Grad times the pressure, lands the cleaner shots, and steals key moments — live dog with value.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Bogdan Grad +230

Why?

• Counter opportunities: Riley’s pressure creates clean, hittable lanes.
• Value side: +230 is a strong number for a veteran striker with timing advantages.
• Fight geometry: Grad excels when opponents walk forward on straight lines.

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: Bogdan Grad +230 · Luke Riley -285

Confidence Rating: 2.00 Units (Moderate)

Fight 2 (Main Event · 9:00 AM PST): Brian Norman Jr. -125 vs Devin Hanley -110

Event: WBO Welterweight Title Fight · Boxing
Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
Time: 9:00 AM PST (Main Event)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Brian Norman Jr. (-125) is a dynamic, sharp boxer-puncher with crisp combinations, strong body work, and smooth lateral footwork. His speed and shot selection keep opponents off balance for 12 rounds.

Devin Hanley (-110) is a precise, high-IQ boxer who controls tempo with jabs, spacing, and disciplined defense. He excels in slow, tactical battles.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Norman — Strengths: speed, sharp combinations, athletic footwork; Weaknesses: can be drawn into low-output rounds if he waits too long.

Hanley — Strengths: jab, timing, ring IQ; Weaknesses: lower power, can be outpaced by high-energy opponents.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Norman: Push pace, cut angles, land in combination and force Hanley into retreats.
• Hanley: Slow the fight down, control range with jab, bank technical rounds.

Tactical Edge: Brian Norman Jr. — higher tempo, sharper athleticism, and better combination work over 12 rounds.

Prediction

Norman increases pressure, wins rounds with speed and volume, and outworks Hanley in a technical but clear fight.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Brian Norman Jr. -125

Why?

• Superior pace & volume: Norman dictates tempo, especially late.
• More impactful shots: Power and snap give him scoring edges.
• Ring generalship: Better angles and movement in championship rounds.

Bet Type: Fight Result

Odds: Brian Norman Jr. -125 · Devin Hanley -110

Confidence Rating: 2.00 Units (Moderate)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley	Bogdan Grad +230	2.00 Units	LOSS −2.00 Units
Brian Norman Jr. vs Devin Hanley	Brian Norman Jr. -125	2.00 Units	LOSS −2.00 Units
Net Result (This Card)			NET −4.00 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

These picks were released to members on November 13, 2025 at 6:00 PM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Fight 1 (Prelims · 5:45 PM PST): Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) -250 vs Tracy Cortez (12-2-0) +200

Event: UFC 322 · Della Maddalena vs Makhachev
Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
Time: 5:45 PM PST (Prelims)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0, -250) is a technically advanced grappler with fluid positional transitions, strong top control, and developing striking. She consistently looks to take the fight to the mat and suffocate opponents with control and short strikes.

Tracy Cortez (12-2-0, +200) is a compact, forward-pressure fighter with sharp counters and scramble instincts. She fights aggressively, forces clinches and scrambles, and can explode in short bursts to snatch rounds.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Blanchfield — Strengths: top control, positional passing, cardio in grind; Weaknesses: can be tested by very fast explosive strikers early.

Cortez — Strengths: pressure, counters, scramble finishing; Weaknesses: susceptible to being controlled on top by elite grapplers.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Blanchfield: Close distance, clinch and takedown, convert scrambles to top position and bank rounds via control and short strikes.
• Cortez: Keep it standing and messy, counter hard on entries, force scrambles and explosive bursts to swing rounds.

Tactical Edge: Erin Blanchfield — positional control and scramble superiority.

Prediction

Blanchfield grinds out rounds and wins on cards — method market leans to a unanimous decision/technical decision.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Erin Blanchfield — Method: Unanimous Decision / Technical Decision (-150)

Why?

• Top control & positional dominance: Blanchfield consistently converts scrambles into long control minutes.
• Cardio & steady pressure: She limits Cortez’s high-output spurts and banks rounds by control time.
• Method edge: If the fight spends appreciable time grappling/clinch, the unanimous/technical decision path is the clearest value.

Bet Type: Method of Victory — Unanimous Decision / Technical Decision

Odds: Erin Blanchfield (moneyline) -250 · Tracy Cortez +200 — Method market Blanchfield -150

Confidence Rating: 3.00 Units (High Confidence)

Fight 2 (Co-Main · 8:45 PM PST): Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1) -135 vs Zhang Weili (26-3-0) +110

Event: UFC 322 · Della Maddalena vs Makhachev
Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
Time: 8:45 PM PST (Co-Main Event)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1, -135) is an elite, technical striker with crisp defense, movement, and a broad striking arsenal; she mixes counters with precise leg and body work. Shevchenko is also a dangerous clinch artist with a polished fight IQ.

Zhang Weili (26-3-0, +110) is a relentless, explosive fighter who blends power striking with wrestling and scrambles. Zhang pressures pace and looks to make fights chaotic, finishing fights with sudden bursts.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Shevchenko — Strengths: range management, counter timing, variety; Weaknesses: can be punished if forced into sustained roughhouse pressure.

Zhang — Strengths: explosive offense, power, scrambles; Weaknesses: telegraphed entries at times and susceptibility to precise counters.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Shevchenko: Control distance with feints, punish entries, and use variety to rack rounds.
• Zhang: Press forward, mix power shots and takedowns, force scrambles and capitalize on openings.

Tactical Edge: Valentina Shevchenko — cleaner striking, elite timing, and fight IQ.

Prediction

Shevchenko wins a tactical war — decision or late finish depending on how Zhang closes distance.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Valentina Shevchenko -135

Why?

• Superior timing & counters: Shevchenko picks spots and makes opponents pay for overcommitment.
• Range control: Her ability to manage fight distance reduces Zhang’s explosive entries.

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: Valentina Shevchenko -135 · Zhang Weili +110

Confidence Rating: 2.00 Units (Moderate)

Fight 3 (Main Event · 9:30 PM PST): Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0) +220 vs Islam Makhachev (27-1-0) -275

Event: UFC 322 · Della Maddalena vs Makhachev
Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
Time: 9:30 PM PST (Main Event)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0, +220) is an explosive welterweight with heavy hands, fast entries, and finishing instincts. He relies on powerful combinations and sudden bursts to overwhelm opponents.

Islam Makhachev (27-1-0, -275) is an elite grappler with world-class top control, relentless takedowns, and efficient striking to set up entries. His gas tank, wrestling, and positional control make him a dominant five-round threat.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Della Maddalena — Strengths: power, explosiveness, finishing ability; Weaknesses: can be neutralized by elite wrestling and positional control.

Makhachev — Strengths: takedowns, top pressure, cardio, fight IQ; Weaknesses: fewer glaring weaknesses at elite level — needs to avoid careless counters early.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Della Maddalena: Land big counters early, pressure with heavy combinations and look for a finish before being taken down repeatedly.
• Makhachev: Use takedowns and top control to grind rounds and sap Della Maddalena’s power, finishing by ground strikes or decision.

Tactical Edge: Islam Makhachev — elite wrestling and control in championship frames.

Prediction

Makhachev imposes his wrestling and control, winning rounds and likely finishing late or taking a decision.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Islam Makhachev -275

Why?

• Takedown & control volume: Makhachev consistently converts entries into prolonged top time.
• Cardio & pace management: Sustained pressure neutralizes Della Maddalena’s early power bursts.
• Championship experience & system: Makhachev’s gameplan is proven against elite finishers.

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: Jack Della Maddalena +220 · Islam Makhachev -275

Confidence Rating: 5.00 Units (Max-Level Confidence)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez	Erin Blanchfield — Method: UD / Technical Decision (-150)	3.00 Units	LOSS −3.00 Units
Valentina Shevchenko vs Zhang Weili	Valentina Shevchenko -135	2.00 Units	WIN +1.48 Units
Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev	Islam Makhachev -275	5.00 Units	WIN +1.82 Units
Net Result (This Card)			NET +0.30 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

These picks were released to members on November 6, 2025 at 7:00 PM PST.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Fight 1 (Prelims · 1:45 PM PST): Miles Johns (15-4-0) vs Daniel Marcos (17-1-0)

Event: UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown
Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
Time: 1:45 PM PST (Prelims)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Miles Johns (15-4-0) is a fast bantamweight with crisp boxing, quick level-changes, and solid wrestling defense. He uses angles and counters to create openings and typically carries good energy through three rounds. Strengths: speed, timing, cardio. Weaknesses: can be susceptible to pressure and heavy inside leg kicks.

Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) is a technically polished fighter with strong fundamentals, steady pressure, and a knack for exploiting positional mistakes. He blends crisp leg kicks with mid-range counters and shows disciplined takedown setups. Strengths: technical striking, good fight IQ. Weaknesses: less explosive power than sluggers.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Johns — Strengths: speed, counters, scrambling; Weaknesses: vulnerability to sustained pressure and leg-kick accumulation.

Marcos — Strengths: technical control, timing, positional IQ; Weaknesses: not a high knockout rate, can be outpaced by whirlwind starters.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Johns: Use quick entries, counter shots, and scramble defense to steal rounds on activity.
• Marcos: Control range, mix leg kicks to slow Johns, punish forward movement, and bank safe scoring minutes.

Tactical Edge: Marcos

Marcos’ technical polish and range control project as the higher-floor play in a close bantamweight script.

Prediction

Expect a tactical scrap with Marcos controlling distance and banking points across three rounds.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Daniel Marcos −200

Confidence Rating: 4.00 Units (Aggressive / High Confidence)

Fight 2 (Main Card · 4:15 PM PST): Christian Leroy Duncan (12-2-0) vs Marco Tulio (14-1-0)

Event: UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown
Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
Time: 4:15 PM PST (Main Card)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Christian Leroy Duncan (12-2-0) is an explosive prospect with heavy combinations, athletic scrambling, and improving takedown defense. He often brings high volume and sudden bursts. Strengths: explosiveness, finishing instincts. Weaknesses: can gas if he over-commits and is sometimes reckless on entries.

Marco Tulio (14-1-0) is a polished, composed fighter with efficient striking, strong counter-timing, and a steady gas tank. He mixes low kicks with straight counters and generally avoids reckless exchanges. Strengths: patience, technical striking. Weaknesses: less violent finishing frequency.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Duncan — Strengths: explosion, scramble upside; Weaknesses: endurance risk if fight gets stale.

Tulio — Strengths: timing, low-kick mix, composure; Weaknesses: less one-punch pop.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Duncan: Push pace, mix takedown entries with inside combos, find late rounds on finishes.
• Tulio: Control tempo, use leg kicks to slow Duncan, capitalize on openings with counters.

Tactical Edge: Duncan (value upside)

Duncan’s sudden bursts and finishing upside make him a playable value side at plus money.

Prediction

Expect a high-energy middle with Duncan pushing pace; Tulio will try to cash counters—but Duncan’s volatility creates late finish potential.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Christian Leroy Duncan +165

Confidence Rating: 2.00 Units (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 3 (Main Event · 6:45 PM PST): Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0) vs Randy Brown (20-6-0)

Event: UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown
Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM PST (Main Event)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0) is a technically sound, pressure-heavy fighter with a mix of crisp boxing and effective grappling. Strengths: technical striking, finishing instincts; Weaknesses: can be reactive to counters early.

Randy Brown (20-6-0) is a veteran with heavy pressure, good wrestling, and unpredictable power. He thrives when turning fights into scrambles and using dirty boxing to sap opponents. Strengths: pressure, power, durability; Weaknesses: sometimes predictable in approach.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Bonfim — Strengths: technical entries, sharp counters, finishing instincts; Weaknesses: can be troubled by sustained roughhouse pressure.

Brown — Strengths: pressure, wrestling, power; Weaknesses: can be exposed by cleaner counter-strikers early.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Bonfim: Use precise counters, punish forward steps, and mix takedowns when Brown over-commits.
• Brown: Apply relentless pressure, create scrambles, and land heavy shots in close quarters.

Tactical Edge: Brown (value / underdog momentum)

Brown’s pressure and experience in chaotic bouts give him a clear path—if he lands early dirty boxing or turns scrambles he can turn this into a folded script.

Prediction

Bonfim is the technical favorite on paper, but Brown’s pressure and fight-ending power give him an upset path. Expect a close main event with scrambles.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Randy Brown +160

Confidence Rating: 2.00 Units (Moderate Confidence — Upset / Value Play)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos	Daniel Marcos −200	4.00 Units	WIN +2.00 Units
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio	Christian Leroy Duncan +165	2.00 Units	WIN +3.30 Units
Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown	Randy Brown +160	2.00 Units	LOSS −2.00 Units
Net Result (This Card)			NET +3.30 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

These picks were released to members on October 30, 2025 at 5:50 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Fight 1: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-2-0) vs Ante Delija (26-6-0)

Event: UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs Onama
Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
Time: 6:15 PM PDT (Co-Main Event)
Records: Cortes-Acosta (14-2-0) · Delija (26-6-0)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Waldo Cortes-Acosta is a heavy-handed, high-pressure heavyweight with forward momentum, durable chin, and solid wrestling entries. He seeks to overwhelm opponents quickly and convert openings into fight-ending strikes. Strengths: finishing power, pace. Weaknesses: overcommitment on entries, can eat counters.

Ante Delija is a seasoned heavyweight with methodical pressure, strong clinch work, and finishing ability. He mixes boxing and level changes with effective top control. Strengths: composed pressure, chain wrestling, fight IQ. Weaknesses: slower vs ultra-fast starters, needs time to find rhythm.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Cortes-Acosta — Strengths: high-impact strikes, pace, cardio for heavyweight; Weaknesses: head open on entries, sometimes rushes and eats counters.

Delija — Strengths: tactical pressure, jab/low kick mix, solid clinch and top control, composure; Weaknesses: slower start vs fast aggressors; early-fire exchanges can be risky.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Cortes-Acosta: Push forward early, cut angles, clinch to land short elbows and uppercuts, force Delija into firefight.
• Delija: Use measured jab and calf kicks to slow forward momentum, chain level changes for top control, punish heavy entries with counters and clinch resets.

Tactical Edge: Delija

Delija’s experience, range management, and composure make him a higher-floor pick vs aggressive but reckless Cortes-Acosta.

Prediction

Expect Cortes-Acosta to test Delija early, but Delija’s control and clinch work take over. Delija by decision or late TKO.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Ante Delija -135

Fight 2: Steve "Sugar" Garcia (18-5-0) vs David Onama (14-2-0)

Event: UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs Onama
Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM PDT (Main Event)
Records: Garcia (18-5-0) · Onama (14-2-0)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Steve "Sugar" Garcia is a well-rounded featherweight with crisp boxing, heavy leg kicks, and scrambling ability. Strengths: boxing fundamentals, leg kicks, finishing instincts. Weaknesses: inconsistent output and vulnerable vs elite wrestlers.

David Onama is a rangy, explosive striker with excellent distance control and creative counters. Strengths: timing, counters, speed. Weaknesses: handling sustained pressure and wrestling-heavy attacks.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Garcia — Strengths: clean punches, leg-kicks, scramble finishing; Weaknesses: output dips in grappling scrambles, can overextend on counters.

Onama — Strengths: range control, timing, speed; Weaknesses: pressure-heavy clinch and dirty boxing exchanges.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Garcia: Leg kicks to cut base, mix inside leg kicks with counters, force scrambles/clinch to influence fight pace.
• Onama: Maintain distance, time counters off Garcia’s lead hand, feints to create straight shot openings.

Tactical Edge: Garcia

Garcia’s leg kick plan and volume-based boxing blunts Onama’s timing, creating scrambles where Garcia can dominate.

Prediction

Measured opening with Onama seeking counters; Garcia’s leg attacks and burst entries create late openings. Garcia by late TKO or decision.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Steve "Sugar" Garcia -135

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Ante Delija vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Ante Delija -135	3.00 Units	LOSS −3.00 Units
Steve "Sugar" Garcia vs David Onama	Steve "Sugar" Garcia -135	4.50 Units	WIN +3.33 Units
Net Result (This Card)			NET +0.33 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

These picks were released to members on October 23, 2025 at 7:00 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Fight 1: Virna Jandiroba (22-3) vs Mackenzie Dern (15-5)

Event: UFC 321 · Aspinall vs Gane
Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
Time: 12:45 PM PDT (Prelims)
Records: Jandiroba (22-3) · Dern (15-5)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Virna Jandiroba is a pressure grappler with stout hips, strong doubles/body-locks, and smothering top control. She stacks guard, pounds short, and prefers half-guard rides where she’s hard to dislodge. On the feet she’s functional—hands to entries, low kicks to set level changes—and durable over three.

Mackenzie Dern is a submission ace with explosive hips and elite finishing instincts in transitions. When she gets top, her pressure and passing are dangerous; off her back she threatens triangles/armlocks but can get stuck when opponents stack, posture, and strike short. Striking has pop but defense/recoil can be countered.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Jandiroba — Strengths: takedown variety; stack pressure; positional control; cardio in grappling cycles. Weaknesses: limited pocket defense; predictable entries if feints fade; not a big round-ender.

Dern — Strengths: world-class BJJ; submission chains from scrambles; heavy top pressure. Weaknesses: TDD inconsistencies; bottom control liabilities vs strong stackers; striking defense gaps.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Jandiroba: Cage-cut → level change; finish to half-guard; stack posture with short elbows; avoid extended elbows inside closed guard; bank control time.
• Dern: Create scrambles off whizzers and granbys; attack armbars/triangles as Virna posts; threaten front headlock when Virna shoots lazy.

Tactical Edge: Jandiroba

Top position + stack pressure historically score well versus guard hunters. Over three, Virna’s control minutes and safe damage profile project as the higher-floor side.

Prediction

Dern will flash submission threats, but Jandiroba’s rides and stack striking should win minutes. Jandiroba by competitive decision (29–28).

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Virna Jandiroba +140

Fight 2: Tom Aspinall (15-3) vs Ciryl Gane (13-2)

Event: UFC 321 · Aspinall vs Gane
Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
Time: 1:45 PM PDT (Main Event)
Records: Aspinall (15-3) · Gane (13-2)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Tom Aspinall blends heavyweight speed with clean boxing and credible wrestling. He threatens level changes to open hands, controls on top with pressure, and finishes when opponents overreact. He’s patient early in five-round settings, especially versus sharpshooters.

Ciryl Gane is a distance-management ace: feints, lateral footwork, calf/teep kicks, and straight counters. Defensive grappling is his stress point, encouraging a cautious start in elite matchups.

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

Aspinall — Strengths: speed/timing; reactive shots; top control; finishing instincts. Weaknesses: less proven deep into R4–R5; can get clipped on entries if rushed.

Gane — Strengths: footwork; range striking; cardio over distance; low defensive error rate at space. Weaknesses: reactive TDD; clinch grappling; can be forced to shell under layered pressure.

PATHS TO VICTORY

• Aspinall: Jab feints into entries; clinch to trips; top control to tax legs; selective bursts to avoid early counters.
• Gane: Kick the base early; circle off pressure; counter straight as Aspinall sets; deny extended grappling with urgent frames.

Tactical Edge: Fight Duration — early phases project controlled, supporting Over 1.5 rounds.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Total Rounds Over 1.5 (−125)

FINAL WAGER SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Units Risked	Outcome
Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern	Virna Jandiroba +140	3.00 Units	LOSS −3.00 Units
Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane (Total Rds O/U 1.5)	Over 1.5 −125	4.00 Units	PUSH 0.00 Units
Net Result (This Card)			NET −3.00 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

Final Results Below

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night — October 18, 2025

These picks were released to members on October 16, 2025.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Fight 1: Marlon Vera (23-10-1) vs Aiemann Zahabi (13-2-0)

Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
Time: 5:45 PM PDT (Main Card)

Official Result: Aiemann Zahabi WON by Unanimous Decision (30-27 ×2, 29-28)

FIGHTER MATCHUP RECAP

Pre-fight angle: Zahabi’s disciplined jab, low kicks, and shot selection were projected to offset Vera’s slow-starting, power-first approach.

What happened: Zahabi executed perfectly — mixing calf kicks with range control and sharp counters. Vera’s rally came too late as Zahabi banked early optics and clean scoring exchanges to take the decision.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Aiemann Zahabi -135 

Fight 2: Reinier de Ridder (21-2-0) vs Brendan Allen (25-7-0)

Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM PDT (Main Event)

Official Result: Reinier de Ridder LOST by TKO (R3, 4:11)

FIGHTER MATCHUP RECAP

Pre-fight angle: De Ridder’s suffocating body-lock and trip game to create sustained top control and submission pressure.

What happened: De Ridder started strong with early control, but Allen found adjustments—reversing takedowns, landing hard elbows, and overwhelming De Ridder in the clinch with sustained offense before finishing him late in Round 3.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Reinier de Ridder -220 

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	6.85 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 1 Loss
Net Profit	-2.76 Units

FINAL RESULTS SUMMARY

Fight	Pick	Result	Units (+/−)
Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi	Aiemann Zahabi -135	WIN	+1.74 Units
Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen	Reinier de Ridder -220	LOSS	-4.50 Units
Net Result:			-2.76 Units

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Calculated Bets. Proven Results. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Final Results Below

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night — October 11, 2025

These picks were released to members on October 9, 2025.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Fight 1: Jhonata Diniz (9-1-0) vs Mario Pinto (10-0-0)

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
Time: 5:15 PM PDT

Result: Jhonata Diniz LOST by Unanimous Decision

FIGHTER MATCHUP RECAP

Pre-fight angle: Diniz’s length, calf kicks, and straight-right counters to punish Pinto’s pressure and entries.

What happened: Pinto consistently pushed the pace, found entries behind the jab, and turned engagements toward clinch and cage sequences. Diniz landed in spots but couldn’t deter the forward pressure enough to win minutes; Pinto’s control and volume banked rounds for a clear decision.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Jhonata Diniz -125 — LOSS

Fight 2: Charles Oliveira (35-11-0) vs Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0)

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM PDT (Main Event)

Result: Charles Oliveira WON by Submission

FIGHTER MATCHUP RECAP

Pre-fight angle: Oliveira’s intercept knees/uppercuts and lethal front-headlock/back-take series to punish Gamrot’s shot volume; damage-first moments to trump control.

What happened: In scrambles, Oliveira turned Gamrot’s entries into danger—snaring the neck during transitions and forcing the tap. “Do Bronx” created the higher-leverage moments and closed with signature submission prowess.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Charles Oliveira -110 — WIN

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	3.30 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 1 Loss
Net Profit	0.75 Units

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Final Results Below

Past Picks Recap: UFC 320 — October 4, 2025

These picks were released to members on October 2, 2025 at 7:35 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

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Fight 1: Merab Dvalishvili (17-4) vs Cory Sandhagen (17-4)

Event: UFC 320: Ankalaev vs Pereira 2
Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
Time: 8:45 PM PDT
Records: Dvalishvili (17-4), Sandhagen (17-4)

Official Result: Merab Dvalishvili WON by Unanimous Decision — scorecards: 49–45, 49–45, 49–46. 

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Merab Dvalishvili is the welterweight of bantamweight—pressure, pace, and persistence. He wins the long game with chain wrestling (shots → reshots → rides → mat returns), suffocating fence pressure, and mental attrition. When he corrals opponents to the cage, he hand-fights into body locks, lifts or trips, and immediately hunts returns when opponents stand. Merab’s striking is serviceable and largely functional—feints and level-change threats open straight shots—but his true equity is cumulative control and cardio.

Cory Sandhagen is a slippery switch-hitter with elite footwork and intercept weapons. He shines in space: jab feints, angle shifts, and step-in knees that punish predictable entries. Cory’s variety (elbows, spins, counters) creates high-value moments, and he’s excellent at stealing initiative with timing. However, extended defensive grappling cycles tax his output—if his hips are shelved or his back is stapled to the fence, his offense dims and the optics tilt against him.

Tactical Edge (Pre-Fight): Dvalishvili

Prediction (Pre-Fight): Dvalishvili funnels to the fence, stacks takedowns, and smothers stand-ups with returns—clear decision.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Merab Dvalishvili -430

Fight 2: Magomed Ankalaev (19-1-1) vs Alex Pereira (11-2)

Event: UFC 320: Ankalaev vs Pereira 2
Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
Time: 9:30 PM PDT (Main Event)
Records: Ankalaev (19-1-1), Pereira (11-2)

Official Result: Magomed Ankalaev LOST — Alex Pereira won by TKO (punches) at 1:20 of Round 1. 

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Magomed Ankalaev is a low-error, counter-first technician. He manages distance with measured footwork, checks, and teeps, letting opponents show their hands before punishing oversteps. He can mix clinch and level changes to bank control time when needed.

Alex Pereira is a momentum striker with a boulder-heavy left hook, thudding calf kicks, and elite shot placement. Controlled pressure walks foes onto preloaded power; clinch and wrestling looks against him can cool that rhythm—but if you give him set feet, danger escalates fast.

Tactical Edge (Pre-Fight): Ankalaev

Prediction (Pre-Fight): Ankalaev to manage distance, counter cleanly, and sprinkle takedowns late to pull away.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Magomed Ankalaev -265

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	7.80 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 1 Loss
Net Profit	-2.50 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Final Results Below

Past Picks Recap: Boxing (IBF Title) + UFC Fight Night | September 27, 2025

These picks were released to members on September 27, 2025 at 6:10 PM PDT.

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Fight 1: Sol Cudos vs Kim Clavel

Event: IBF Women’s Strawweight Title Fight
Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
Location: Montreal
Time: 4:00 PM PDT

Official Result: Kim Clavel WON by Unanimous Decision (Scorecards: 98–92, 97–93, 97–93)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Sol Cudos (22-3, 9 KOs) — Pressure-forward champion who thrives on volume, high guard, and durability. Strong jab and toughness but linear movement leaves her hittable, and her late-round adjustments can lag.

Kim Clavel (19-1, 3 KOs) — Elite technician with excellent footwork and defensive timing. Wins rounds with jab, lateral movement, and clean counters. Limited KO power but excels in championship round composure and optics.

Tactical Edge (Pre-Fight): Clavel — superior jab and movement to neutralize Cudos’s forward pressure.

Prediction (Pre-Fight): Clavel controls range, wins clean optics, and outboxes Cudos over 10 rounds.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Kim Clavel -300

Fight 2: Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny

Event: UFC Fight Night
Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
Time: 8:15 PM PDT

Official Result: Jake Matthews LOST by Submission (Round 2)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Jake Matthews (20-6) — Well-rounded welterweight with explosive boxing, slick counters, and solid wrestling. Strengths: speed, power, and top control. Weaknesses: inconsistent output, occasional lapses defensively in prolonged grappling sequences.

Neil Magny (28-13) — Division mainstay with 80” reach, clinch savvy, and relentless cardio. Strengths: jab volume, fence control, and scrappy submissions in transitions. Weaknesses: hittable in open exchanges, struggles against fast power punchers.

Tactical Edge (Pre-Fight): Matthews — speed, power, and offensive wrestling were expected to neutralize Magny’s length and clinch game.

Prediction (Pre-Fight): Matthews to control pace and land heavier moments to earn a clear decision or late finish.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Jake Matthews -425

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	7.50 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 1 Loss
Net Profit	-3.17 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Final Results Below

Past Picks Recap: Boxing — Super Middleweight

These picks were released to members on September 7, 2025 at 5:00 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight: Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford

Date: September 13, 2025
Time: 9:45 PM PDT  | Boxing | Super Middleweight

Official Result: Alvarez LOST by Unanimous Decision

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Canelo Alvarez (60-2-2, 39 KOs) — decorated multi-division champion with elite ring IQ, granite chin, and fight-ending body work at 168 lbs. Best when cutting the ring, slowing opponents with counters and sustained pressure.

Terence Crawford (41-0, 31 KOs) — pound-for-pound ace, slick switch-hitter with elite timing and adaptability. Thrives on reads, counter layers, and tempo shifts; excels in big-fight moments.

Tactical Edge (Pre-Fight): Alvarez — projected long-game pressure and body investment to tax Crawford late.

Prediction (Pre-Fight)

Expected Crawford success early with counters, but Alvarez to surge late behind size, pressure, and body work for control down the stretch.

FIGHTASTIC PICK: Canelo Alvarez -175

Why?

• Proven power/durability at 168 lbs
• Championship experience vs elite opposition
• Sustained body work and pressure that often flips late rounds
• Comfort in deep waters over 12 rounds

Bet Type: Fight Result

Odds:
Terence Crawford +145
Canelo Alvarez -175

Confidence Rating: 3.25 Units (Strong Confidence)

Wager Summary: 3.25 Units to Win 1.85 Units

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	3.25 Units
Fight Record	0 Wins | 1 Loss
Net Profit	-3.25 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Final Results Below

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night | September 6, 2025

These picks were released to members on September 1, 2025 at 10:15 AM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025
Time: 12:10 PM PDT | UFC Fight Night | Prelims

Official Result: Ante Delija WON by KO/TKO (R1, 2:03)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Marcin Tybura is a savvy veteran heavyweight who wins with clinch work, body kicks, and well-timed takedowns. He’s durable and composed in scrambles, but his pace can dip over 15–25 minutes and he’s vulnerable when forced backward by stronger wrestle-boxers who pin him to the fence and chip away with volume.

Ante Delija brings a pressure-first style built on level changes, cage rides, and heavy top control. He’s disciplined behind a jab and low kicks, then turns exchanges into mat returns and control time. While he can be hittable when exiting the pocket, his grind and cardio typically hold up deep.

Tactical Edge: Delija

This is a pressure-wrestler vs clinch-kick specialist—and Delija’s chain wrestling plus cage control are the key levers. If he gets Tybura retreating early, the fight tilts toward rinse-and-repeat takedowns and long control spells.

Prediction

Tybura will have moments with kicks and counters, but Delija’s forward pressure, mat returns, and fence control should bank rounds. Expect steady attrition, top time, and heavier moments late.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Ante Delija -115

Fight 2: Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025
Time: 4:15 PM PDT | UFC Fight Night | Main Event

Official Result: Nassourdine Imavov WON by Unanimous Decision

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Nassourdine Imavov (14-4, 1 NC) is a long, composed striker who wins on distance management and clean shot selection. He pumps a sharp jab, slides off at angles, and punishes entries with counters—especially the right hand and step-in knees. Imavov’s clinch breaks are slick, and his first-layer takedown defense plus quick stand-ups keep him upright where he’s most dangerous.

Caio Borralho (16-1, 1 NC) is a measured pressure fighter who excels in cage craft and control. He leans on body-lock takedowns, trips, and strong top control to bank minutes. On the feet he’s disciplined and low-risk, but his striking volume can lag when opponents won’t give him clean entries.

Tactical Edge: Imavov

This is range striking vs control grappling—and Imavov’s footwork/jab can blunt Borralho’s setups. If Imavov keeps first contact clean, circles off the fence, and punishes level changes with straight counters and knees, Borralho’s clinch sequences get less reliable and his output stalls.

Prediction

Borralho will have moments of clinch control, but Imavov’s jab, counters, and re-center footwork win the optics and the rounds. Down the stretch, Imavov lands the cleaner shots and denies the big control stretches.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Nassourdine Imavov +110

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	4.25 Units
Fight Record	2 Wins | 0 Losses
Net Profit	+4.16 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Final Results Below

Past Picks Recap: UFC & Boxing | August 23, 2025

These picks were released to members on August 20, 2025 at 7:50 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
Time: 4:15 AM PDT | UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang | Main Card (Shanghai)

Result: Sergei Pavlovich WON (Unanimous Decision). (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) 

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Sergei Pavlovich (18-2) is a terrifying blend of size, speed, and raw knockout power. With 15 of his 18 wins coming via KO/TKO—most within the first round—Pavlovich is one of the most dangerous opening-frame finishers in the UFC. His reach, blitzing combinations, and ability to cover distance quickly make him a nightmare for slower heavyweights. While his recent loss to Tom Aspinall showed defensive gaps, Pavlovich still lands with destructive volume early, averaging 8.7 significant strikes per minute.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta (12-1) is a composed, durable heavyweight with a boxing-first approach. He fights behind a jab, throws in volume, and rarely overextends himself. Waldo’s cardio is solid for the division, and he’s tough to put away. But he lacks the same one-shot power or explosiveness seen at the top of the division. Against power punchers like Jared Vanderaa and Chase Sherman, he’s been able to maintain control—but he’s never faced anyone with Pavlovich’s kill-switch aggression.

Tactical Edge: Pavlovich

This is a classic power vs pace matchup, but the levels are worlds apart. Pavlovich isn’t just powerful—he’s precise, aggressive, and finishes quickly. Waldo’s jab-heavy style won’t keep Pavlovich off him, and standing still in front of Sergei is a dangerous gamble.

Prediction

Unless Waldo survives a frantic early storm and drags this into deep waters, he’s in serious trouble. Pavlovich starts fast and finishes faster. Expect Sergei to walk through the jab, explode in close range, and land something big within the first two minutes.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Sergei Pavlovich -250

Why?

• Huge power and pressure advantage
• 15 career knockouts — most in Round 1
• Waldo lacks the movement or defensive headwork to survive early chaos

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds:
Sergei Pavlovich -225
Waldo Cortes-Acosta +185

Confidence Rating: 3.00 Units (High Confidence)

Wager Summary: 3.00 Units to Win 1.20 Unit

Fight 2: Jack Rafferty vs Mark Chamberlain

Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
Time: 2:00 PM PDT | British & Commonwealth Junior Welterweight Titles | Co-Main Event (Altrincham, UK)

Result: MAJORITY DRAW (115-114 Chamberlain, 114-114, 114-114). 

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Jack “Demolition Man” Rafferty (26-0, 17 KOs) is a heavy-handed pressure fighter with a high motor and a punishing style. He’s undefeated for a reason—he walks opponents down, attacks the body with ruthless consistency, and drags fights into deep water. His recent wins have shown improved composure, but his bread and butter remains a relentless, crowding pace that breaks his foes over time.

Mark “Thunder” Chamberlain (17-1, 12 KOs) is a smooth southpaw with solid timing and precision. He’s at his best when he can control range, pick his shots, and force opponents to fight on his terms. While technically sharp, Chamberlain has struggled when forced to exchange in close quarters, and his lone loss exposed a vulnerability to body shots and pressure.

Tactical Edge: Rafferty

This is a high-pressure vs precision matchup—and it favors Rafferty. He’ll close the distance early, invest in body work, and chip away at Chamberlain’s gas tank. The more this becomes a fight inside the pocket, the more it tips in Rafferty’s favor.

Prediction

Chamberlain will land early, but once Rafferty starts digging to the ribs and upping the volume, the tide will turn. Expect a war of attrition, but one that Rafferty controls. He’ll take over down the stretch, wearing down Chamberlain with non-stop forward motion and damage.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Jack Rafferty -275

Why?

• Smothering pressure style that nullifies Chamberlain’s rhythm
• Proven cardio and body attack over 10+ rounds
• Chamberlain’s output drops dramatically under duress

Bet Type: Fight Result 

Odds:
Jack Rafferty -275
Mark Chamberlain +200

Confidence Rating: 3.75 Units (High Confidence)

Wager Summary: 3.75 Units to Win 1.00 Units

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	6.75 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 0 Losses | 1 Push
Net Profit	+1.20 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Final Results Below

Past Picks Recap: Boxing & UFC 319 | August 16, 2025

These picks were released to members on August 13, 2025 at 6:30 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Nick Ball vs Sam Goodman

Result: Nick Ball WON (Decision)

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Nick Ball (20-0, 11 KO) is a relentless volume puncher with suffocating pressure and an elite motor. Short, explosive, and aggressive, he specializes in breaking down opponents with body shots, rope pressure, and inside combinations. Ball doesn’t let opponents breathe—he walks them down and turns the fight into a war.

Sam Goodman (18-0, 7 KO) is a sharp, polished technician with clean footwork, excellent distance control, and a disciplined jab. He’s a smart boxer, but he’s never faced someone with Ball’s level of sustained, intelligent pressure. Goodman will have to box perfectly to keep Ball off of him.

Tactical Edge: Ball

This is a classic pressure vs precision matchup—and Ball turns clean fights into chaos. His pace and aggression will force Goodman into defensive cycles he can’t sustain for 12 rounds. Ball’s body work will chip away at Goodman’s movement until the space disappears.

Prediction

Goodman might win some early rounds with movement and the jab, but Ball will break him down late. Expect a punishing second half where Ball drowns him in volume and wins a clear decision—or scores a late-round TKO.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Nick Ball -450

Why?

• Pressure and body attack break down Goodman’s rhythm

• Proven durability and stamina over 12 rounds

• Goodman hasn’t dealt with this level of aggression

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds:

Nick Ball -450
Sam Goodman +300

Confidence Rating: 4.50 Units (High Confidence)

Wager Summary: 4.50 Units to Win 1.00 Unit

Fight 2: Chase Hooper vs Alexander Hernandez

Result: Chase Hooper LOSS

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Chase Hooper (14-3-1) is a submission specialist with a long frame, improving striking, and a relentless, grinding grappling style. His recent wins show evolution in composure and transition control, and his cardio allows him to weaponize pace the longer the fight goes. Hooper thrives in chaos, using awkward pressure and slick scrambles to drag opponents into deep water and capitalize on fatigue.

Alexander Hernandez (14-8) is a fast starter with explosive bursts of striking power and solid wrestling fundamentals. But he’s struggled badly with pacing, often fading after Round 1. When pressured or extended into grappling exchanges, his game can unravel. While still dangerous in the early minutes, Hernandez has consistently shown vulnerability when fights become attritional.

Tactical Edge: Hooper

This is a cardio vs chaos matchup—and Hooper thrives in that environment. If he survives the early blitz, he can overwhelm Hernandez with ground transitions and constant control pressure. He’ll own the second half of the fight.

Prediction

Hernandez has to finish early or he’s in trouble. Hooper’s gas tank, durability, and submission threats give him the edge over 15 minutes. Expect Hernandez to start hot, but fade fast once the scrambles stack up. Hooper takes over in Round 2 or 3 and finds the finish.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Chase Hooper -325

Why?

• Better cardio and pressure pace

• Grappling advantage in scrambles and top control

• Hernandez fades under pressure and volume

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds:

Chase Hooper -325
Alexander Hernandez +300

Confidence Rating: 3.25 Units (High Confidence)

Wager Summary: 3.25 Units to Win 1.00 Unit

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	7.75 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 1 Loss
Net Profit	-2.25 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night | August 9, 2025

These picks were released to members on August 7, 2025 at 6:40 PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Joselyne Edwards vs Priscila Cachoeira 

Result: Joselyne Edwards stopped Priscila Cachoeira with a Round 1 KO.

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Joselyne Edwards (13-4) is a rangy, technical striker with solid volume and sneaky grappling when needed. She fights long, uses a kick-heavy attack, and has shown improvement in defensive grappling. While not known for finishing power, she controls the range well and has a significant advantage in output and technique.

Priscila Cachoeira (12-6), aka “Zombie Girl,” brings a wild brawling style and serious grit—but not much else. She’s 1-4 in her last five fights, often getting outclassed by more technical opponents. Her defense is porous, and she struggles with range, takedown defense, and discipline. Her best weapon is chaos—but Edwards rarely obliges.

Tactical Edge: Edwards

This matchup is built for Joselyne Edwards to shine. She’s taller, longer, and far more disciplined. If she sticks to her jab and body kicks, she’ll cruise. Cachoeira has no Plan B—if she can’t land something big in Round 1, the fight quickly shifts out of her control.

Prediction

Expect Edwards to land early and often, frustrate Cachoeira with movement, and pick her apart across all three rounds.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Joselyne Edwards -375

Why?

• Striking volume + range advantage

• Cachoeira absorbs more than she lands

• Clear path to a dominant decision win

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds:

Joselyne Edwards -375

Priscila Cachoeira +300

Confidence Rating: 3.75 Units (High Confidence)

Wager Summary: 3.75 Units to Win 1.00 Unit

Fight 2: Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Hernandez

Result: Anthony Hernandez mauled Roman Dolidze for five rounds, cruising to a unanimous decision victory.

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Anthony “Fluffy” Hernandez (12-2, 1 NC) is a cardio machine and pressure grappler who drowns opponents in relentless volume. He enters this bout riding a strong win streak with finishes over Rodolfo Vieira, Edmen Shahbazyan, and most recently Roman Kopylov. Hernandez’s pace is elite—he weaponizes takedowns, scrambles, and top pressure with a non-stop gas tank.

Roman Dolidze (12-3) is a powerful striker with knockout potential and slick BJJ. But he’s also notoriously low volume, often relying on moments rather than minutes to swing a fight. After back-to-back losses to Marvin Vettori and Nassourdine Imavov, Dolidze enters this bout needing to regain momentum—but he’s facing a stylistic nightmare.

Tactical Edge: Hernandez

This is a classic pressure vs power matchup—and Fluffy thrives in this kind of grind. He’ll push the pace, test Dolidze’s gas tank, and force extended grappling exchanges that favor him.

Prediction

Dolidze can’t win rounds off his back or with occasional counters. If he doesn’t hurt Hernandez early, he’s in for a punishing, exhausting 15 minutes. Expect Hernandez to mix takedowns, clinch pressure, and non-stop mat returns to break Dolidze down.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Anthony Hernandez -300

Why?

• Pace and pressure advantage

• Better wrestling and top control

• Dolidze fades when forced to work backward

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds:

Roman Dolidze +240

Anthony Hernandez -300

Confidence Rating: 3.50 Units (High Confidence)

Wager Summary: 3.50 Units to Win 1.16 Units

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	7.25 Units
Fight Record	2 Wins | 0 Losses
Net Profit	+2.00 Units

FIGHTASTIC Unit Confidence Chart

Each unit size reflects FIGHTASTIC’s confidence in the pick. Stick to the system and manage your edge.

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park | Boxing Junior Welterweight: Duarte vs Sims Jr. | August 2, 2025

These picks were released to members on July 31, 2025 at 10:30 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Oscar Duarte vs Kenneth Sims Jr.

Result: Tatsuro Taira defeated HyunSung Park by Submission, Round 2.

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

This is a classic clash of power vs precision.

• Oscar Duarte is a high-pressure knockout artist with 23 finishes in 29 wins.

• Kenneth Sims Jr. is a crafty boxer with sharp movement and strong fundamentals—but just 8 KOs in 22 victories.

Sims Jr. may be the hometown fighter, but Duarte brings the heat—forward pressure, body attack, and fight-ending power that forces opponents to wilt or fold.

Why Duarte Wins

Power That Breaks You Down

Duarte’s 79% KO rate is no joke. He doesn’t rely on one-punch bombs—he stacks damage with smart pressure, punishes the body, and overwhelms opponents late. Against fighters who can’t keep him off, Duarte closes the show.

He’s not just a brawler—he’s a disciplined pressure fighter with killer instinct and conditioning.

Momentum and Mindset

Since falling to Ryan Garcia in 2023, Duarte has retooled and returned with venom. He’s coming off a 3-fight win streak, including a knockout of JoJo Diaz and a UD over Batyr Akhmedov—two gritty opponents that test your toughness and IQ.

Sims hasn’t faced this kind of sustained punishment in recent fights—and if he fades late, Duarte finishes him.

Sims Can’t Hurt Him

Let’s be real: Sims Jr. doesn’t have the pop to keep Duarte honest. His 36% KO rate won’t scare anyone—and Duarte walks through light shots to land heavy leather. If this becomes a firefight, Sims doesn’t have the firepower.

The Strategy

Duarte doesn’t need to win every round. He needs to keep Sims on the back foot, wear him down, and break him inside. Cut off the ring, corner him, then dig to the body until the openings show up top.

Expect Duarte to go full throttle from round 6 onward—and turn this into a war Sims can’t escape from.

Prediction

Oscar Duarte by TKO – Rounds 9–11

Too much pressure. Too much power. This isn’t just a win—it’s a statement.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Oscar Duarte -190

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds:

Oscar Duarte -190

Kenneth Sims Jr. +140 

Confidence Rating: 3.50 Unit (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 2: Tatsuro Taira vs HyunSung Park

Result: Tatsuro Taira defeated HyunSung Park by Submission, Round 2.

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Two undefeated flyweights. Two rising forces in the division.

But only one walks out with his streak intact.

• Tatsuro Taira is a grappling sniper with deadly precision, elite control, and slick submissions.

• HyunSung Park is scrappy and fearless—a fast-paced grappler with a chaotic style and strong finishing instincts.

Both are dangerous—but one fights like a surgeon. The other like a brawler. And that makes all the difference.

Why Taira Wins

Calculated Pressure + Elite Control

Taira doesn’t waste movement. He reads opponents, stays patient, and breaks them down methodically. Once he gets the body lock or takes the back, it’s academic. He floats like a black belt and hunts like a killer.

Against a scrambling fighter like Park, control wins over chaos—and Taira thrives in that domain.

Experience Against Better Grapplers

Taira has already handled strong opponents like Edgar Chairez, CJ Vergara, and Jesus Aguilar—fighters who can wrestle, scramble, and strike. Park has never faced this level of composure and control inside the Octagon.

He Doesn’t Chase—He Traps

Taira doesn’t force finishes. He sets traps. Then he springs them. Whether it’s a body triangle or triangle choke, his timing is clean—and Park’s recklessness gives him plenty of chances to capitalize.

The Strategy

Taira stays measured on the feet, closes distance behind straight punches, and looks for trips or body locks to drag Park down. Once it hits the mat, he flows from position to finish—never giving Park a second to reset.

Expect Taira to neutralize Park’s movement, flatten him out, and work for the choke or armbar once Park gives his back in desperation.

Prediction

Tatsuro Taira by Submission – Round 2

He’s too smooth. Too smart. Too composed. Taira finds the mistake and punishes it—with style.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Tatsuro Taira -350

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds:

Tatsuro Taira -350

HyunSung Park +275

Confidence Rating: 3.50 Units (Moderate Confidence)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	7.00 Units
Fight Record	2 Win | 0 Loss
Net Profit	+2.84 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Confidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs Reinier | July 26, 2025

These picks were released to members on July 24, 2025 at 8:40 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee

Result: Petr Yan defeated Marcus McGhee by Unanimous Decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Petr Yan (16-5) is back with something to prove. Once the undisputed bantamweight champ, Yan is known for his elite boxing, granite chin, and high fight IQ. Despite a rough patch against the division’s best (Sterling, Dvalishvili, O’Malley), he’s still a nightmare for anyone not ranked in the top 5.

Marcus McGhee (9-1) is a promising, dangerous finisher with slick striking and explosive speed. His rise has been fun to watch—but this is a massive step up in competition. He’s never faced anyone with the pressure, polish, or pedigree of Yan.

Tactical Edge: Yan

This is where experience and technique overwhelm flash.

Yan’s ability to read opponents and ramp up the pace is elite. He starts slow, collects data, then drowns opponents with boxing combinations, punishing body work, and airtight defense.

McGhee’s best shot is early—he has to land something big in R1 or R2. But Yan’s chin has held up against killers, and once this fight hits the second half, it’s all downhill for McGhee.

Expect Yan to walk him down, chew up the legs, and gradually dismantle him. 

Prediction: Yan survives any early fireworks, takes over in Round 2, and either gets a late TKO or dominant decision.

 Why?

• Huge experience edge: former champ vs. prospect

• Durability + Pressure: Yan’s cardio and grit break people

• McGhee has never fought anyone near this level

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Petr Yan -375 

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds:

Petr Yan -375

Marcus McGhee +310

Confidence Rating: 5.00 Unit (Max-Level Confidence)

Fight 2: Claressa Shields vs Lani Daniels

Result: Claressa Shields defeated Lani Daniels by Unanimous Decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Claressa Shields (14-0, 2 KO) is back on the big stage, looking to unify another division and etch her name even deeper into boxing history. Widely regarded as the GWOAT, Shields dominates with precision—not power—outworking opponents round after round with elite hand speed, ring IQ, and masterful footwork.

Lani Daniels (9-2-2, 0 KO) is no pushover. The current IBF heavyweight champion brings championship experience and toughness, but she lacks the one thing needed to disrupt Shields’ rhythm: fight-ending power. With zero knockouts on her record, Daniels will need to outbox one of the sharpest technicians in the sport—which simply isn’t realistic.

Tactical Edge: Shields by Decision

This is a perfect stylistic setup for Shields to do what she does best—control, outclass, and cruise.

She’s not chasing knockouts. She’s chasing legacy, and the scorecards are where she shines. Shields has gone the distance in 10 of her last 12 fights, including against far more dangerous punchers than Daniels. Expect her to set the tone early, rack up rounds with clean counters and volume, and take minimal damage.

Daniels is durable and composed, but she doesn’t have the tools to stop Shields—or even make her uncomfortable.

Prediction: Claressa Shields wins by unanimous decision — yet another dominant, risk-free showcase from one of boxing’s best technicians.

Why?

• Shields has proven cardio and output over 10 rounds

• Daniels has never been stopped, but lacks any KO threat

• Shields will dictate pace and pick her shots clean for 100–90 or 99–91 scorecards

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Claressa Shields – Win on Points

Bet Type: Prop 

Odds:

Claressa Shields (Win on Points) -165

Lani Daniels +1000

Confidence Rating: 3.30 Units (Moderate Confidence)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	8.30 Units
Fight Record	2 Win | 0 Loss
Net Profit	+3.33 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Confidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night | July 19, 2025

These picks were released to members on July 18, 2025 at 11:55 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois 3

Result: Usyk defeated Dubois by KO in Round 5.

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Oleksandr Usyk (21-0, 14 KO) enters this bout undefeated, with masterclass wins over Joshua and Fury under his belt. He’s a generational technician—elite footwork, angle-heavy combinations, and unmatched composure under fire.

Daniel Dubois (21-2, 20 KO) comes in seeking revenge, convinced he had Usyk out in their first meeting with a controversial fifth-round body shot. He’s younger, stronger, and has knockout power in both hands—but he’s also facing one of the most cerebral fighters of this era.

What Happened in Fight 1?

Dubois’ low-blow controversy clouded an otherwise dominant Usyk performance. Despite the scare in Round 5, Usyk outlanded Dubois 88 to 47 and ended the night with a clinical KO in Round 9.

But that fight sparked debate. Dubois’ camp believes that body shot was clean—and that Usyk was moments from being finished.

Tactical Edge: Usyk

Expect Usyk to avoid unnecessary risk this time around. He’ll manage distance, mix levels, and drown Dubois in feints and activity. A late KO is possible—but Dubois now knows what’s coming. He’ll likely be more cautious, making this a distance fight.

Oleksandr Usyk – Win on Points (+175)

Usyk doesn’t need the finish. He just needs 12 clean rounds, and no controversy.

That chip on Dubois’ shoulder makes this rematch emotionally charged… but emotion isn’t enough against Usyk’s surgical pace and volume control.

Prediction: Usyk cruises to a wide decision win with sharp angles, slick movement, and a masterful jab that stifles Dubois’ rhythm.

Why?

• Dubois is durable when not reckless

• Usyk will aim for total control—not flash

• Public leaning KO—creates value on decision

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Oleksandr Usyk – Win on Points +175

Bet Type: Method of Victory

Odds:

Oleksandr Usyk – Win on Points +175

Daniel Dubois +240

Confidence Rating: 3.00 Units (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 2: Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveria 

Result: Oliveria defeated Phillips by Unanimous Decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Kyler Phillips (11-2) returns with momentum, riding a two-fight win streak and showcasing dynamic striking, unorthodox movement, and underrated grappling. He’s flashy—but controlled—and thrives in chaos.

Vinicius Oliveira (20-3) is dangerous. A DWCS product, he debuted with a highlight-reel flying knee KO and carries serious heat in his hands. But he’s still raw defensively and tends to fade in deeper waters.

Phillips offers more variety—calf kicks, spinning kicks, reactive wrestling, and cardio for 3 rounds.

• Oliveira is explosive—but his power fades after Round 1, and his chin is hittable.

Tactical Edge: Phillips

Phillips thrives against wild brawlers. He uses lateral movement to frustrate power punchers, then blitzes in with sharp combos and takedowns. If Oliveira doesn’t land early, this fight tilts heavily toward Phillips’ pace and control.

Look for Phillips to chop the legs, mix in level changes, and win the volume game. If he survives the first 3 minutes, this becomes his fight.

Prediction: Phillips weathers the storm early, takes over with cardio and composure, and either wins a decision or grabs a late submission.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Kyler Phillips +125

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds: 

Kyler Phillips +125 

Vinicius Oliveira -140

Confidence Rating: 2.0 Unit (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 3: Max Holloway vs Dustin Poirier 3

Result: Holloway defeated Poirier by Unanimous Decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Max Holloway (26-8) brings momentum after his buzzer-beater KO of Justin Gaethje at UFC 300. He’s relentless, stylish, and a volume machine.

But Holloway has also taken damage and is coming off a knockout loss to Ilia Topuria at featherweight.

Dustin Poirier (30-8, 1 NC) is battle-tested. He bounced back from a submission loss to Makhachev with a picture-perfect KO over Benoît Saint-Denis. He’s been in the trenches against killers—Conor, Gaethje, Oliveira—and has beaten Holloway twice.

This is legacy-defining for him. He’s locked in, fighting smart, and looking to exit on a high note.

Tactical Edge: Poirier

Poirier’s boxing is sharper than ever. He sits down on punches with devastating accuracy. While Holloway overwhelms with volume, Poirier cracks with damage per shot—and he’s learned how to pace himself across five.

Expect Poirier to work the body, punish Holloway’s midrange entries, and target the legs early to slow the BMF’s movement.

Holloway will throw 600+ strikes. Poirier will land the cleaner, heavier ones—and that’s what sways judges when it’s close.

Prediction: Poirier edges a close, gritty decision, spoiling the farewell BMF parade in a fight-of-the-year contender.

Why?

• He’s 2–0 vs. Max already (submission + decision)

• He has more tools to finish and knows how to steal momentum

• Poirier’s power and counter boxing translate better over 5 rounds at 155 lbs

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Max Holloway -140

Bet Type: Moneyline

Odds:

Max Holloway -140

Dustin Poirier +115

Confidence Rating: 2.00 Unit (Moderate Confidence)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	7.0 Units
Fight Record	0 Wins | 3 Losses
Net Profit	-7.00 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Cofidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Cofidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night | July 12, 2025

These picks were released to members on July 11, 2025 at 9:00 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Edgar Berlanga vs Hamzah Sheeraz

Result: Hamzah Sheeraz defeated Edgar Berlanga by TKO in Round 5.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This is a pivotal middleweight matchup with serious implications. Edgar Berlanga, once hyped as a knockout sensation, enters with a reputation for early power—but that mystique has faded. With one loss on his record and a string of underwhelming decisions, Berlanga’s limitations are now well-documented: low volume, questionable stamina, and difficulty adjusting when the KO doesn’t come early.

Hamzah Sheeraz brings a different energy. Tall, rangy, and composed, the British prospect is 19–0 with 15 KOs, and he’s not just a finisher—he’s a technician with pop. At 6′3″, Sheeraz will hold both a height and reach advantage, and he uses them smartly behind a long jab, fluid movement, and well-timed counters.

While Berlanga may have the edge in raw power, Sheeraz has the sharper tools, better timing, and a cleaner defensive base. Berlanga tends to load up early, but Sheeraz is poised to weather that storm, exploit the openings, and take over down the stretch.

What to Expect

• Berlanga pushes early, hunting a momentum shift

• Sheeraz stays calm, fights long, and chips away with volume and precision

• As Berlanga fades, Sheeraz begins to dominate the pace and angles

This is Sheeraz’s fight to win if he stays disciplined. Expect a measured start, a strong mid-fight takeover, and a decisive finish—either by late TKO or wide decision.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Hamzah Sheeraz -165 (Moneyline)

Odds: -165

Confidence Rating: 2.00 Units (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 2: Calvin Kattar vs Steve Garcia

Result: Steve Garcia defeated Calvin Kattar by Unanimous Decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This matchup pits a durable technician in Calvin Kattar against a high-pressure finisher in Steve Garcia. While Kattar is known for his toughness and boxing fundamentals, he’s coming off four consecutive losses and hasn’t looked like his prime self since suffering major knee damage in 2022.

Steve Garcia, on the other hand, brings aggressive pace, crisp combinations, and real finishing ability—averaging over 5 significant strikes per minute with 100% finishing rate in his last three wins. His offensive output and timing will force Kattar into defensive shells, limiting the volume Calvin needs to sway rounds.

If Garcia starts strong, gets Kattar backing up, and mixes levels, this could quickly shift from a close contest to a controlled beatdown.

Garcia has the momentum, volume, and finishing upside to overwhelm a fading Kattar over three rounds or less.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Steve Garcia -130 (Moneyline)

Odds: -130

Confidence Rating: 2.0 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

Fight 3: Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira

Result: Derrick Lewis defeated Tallison Teixeira by TKO, Round 1.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Derrick Lewis is a heavyweight knockout icon—explosive, dangerous, and always one punch away from changing a fight. But against rising phenom Tallison Teixeira, that power may not be enough.

Teixeira enters this main event with a perfect 8–0 record and all 8 wins coming by finish—most in the first round. At 6′7″ with an 83″ reach, he holds a significant size advantage over Lewis (6′3″, 79″ reach). What sets Teixeira apart, though, is volume: he lands an absurd 14.61 significant strikes per minute, more than 5x the output of Lewis (~2.48 SLM).

Lewis, 40 years old and increasingly reliant on his signature overhand right, will struggle to match the pace. His takedown defense and gas tank remain question marks in prolonged exchanges, especially when pressured. Expect Teixeira to use his range, pour on strikes early, and force Lewis into retreat mode before “The Black Beast” can find his rhythm.

Teixeira pushes a relentless pace early, picking Lewis apart with volume and calculated pressure. If he avoids the big counter shot, look for Teixeira to break Lewis down and secure the win—most likely by TKO, but any method is in play.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Tallison Teixeira -300 (Moneyline)

Odds: -300

Confidence Rating: 3.0 Unit (Moderate Confidence)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	7.0 Units
Fight Record	2 Wins | 1 Loss
Net Profit	-0.19 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Cofidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Cofidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: Boxing Super Lightweight | July 11, 2025

This pick was released to members on July 9, 2025 at 6:30 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Amanda Serrano vs Katie Taylor

Result: Katie Taylor defeated Amanda Serrano by Majority Decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This is the trilogy fight that needs no hype — two legends, one final chapter.

Amanda Serrano enters this bout as the betting favorite, and for good reason. She’s the physically stronger fighter with a relentless forward style. Serrano’s southpaw stance, high-volume combinations, and ability to cut off the ring present serious problems for Taylor—especially over 10 rounds where scoring optics matter.

In their second fight, Serrano outlanded Taylor in total punches and body shots but failed to sway the judges. Expect Serrano’s camp to adjust tactically, focusing more on cleaner output and ring control. She’s sharper defensively now than she was in 2022, and the stamina to maintain pace over 10 rounds favors her pressure-based blueprint.

Katie Taylor remains an elite counterpuncher with top-tier footwork and timing. She’ll have success in spots — particularly in the early rounds — but if the exchanges get extended or physical, it tilts Serrano’s way.

This trilogy ends with Amanda Serrano raising her hand — either by narrow decision or late-fight momentum pull-away. It’ll be close, but she edges it on volume and pressure.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Amanda Serrano -190 (Moneyline)

Odds: -190

Confidence Rating: 1.90 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	1.90 Units
Fight Record	1 Loss
Net Profit	-1.90 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Confidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC 317 | June 28, 2025

These picks were released to members on June 26, 2025 at 8:30 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Brandon Royval vs Joshua Van

Result: Joshua Van defeated Brandon Royval by Unanimous decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This is a high-octane battle between experience and momentum.

Brandon Royval (16-7) is coming off a five-round war against Alexandre Pantoja and returns as one of the most dangerous scramblers in the flyweight division. He averages 3.38 significant strikes landed per minute and 1.07 takedowns per 15 minutes, but his real edge is in his chaos. Royval thrives in wild exchanges, forcing mistakes and capitalizing with slick submissions — 9 of his 16 wins have come by tapout.

Joshua Van (10-1), on the other hand, is one of the hottest prospects in the division. At just 22 years old, he’s already showing poise beyond his years with 5.84 significant strikes landed per minute, a high-volume pace, and 64% striking defense. Van’s timing, footwork, and clean boxing combos have carried him through tight fights, including a recent decision win over Tagir Ulanbekov.

But the x-factor here is the level of competition. Royval has fought the best of the best — Pantoja, Moreno, Kara-France, and more. He’s more battle-tested and can drag Van into deep waters. Van has yet to face someone with Royval’s finishing instincts and pace.

Expect Royval to push the tempo, create scrambles, and force uncomfortable exchanges. If he avoids clean counters early, his pace and unpredictability could overwhelm Van down the stretch or catch him in a chaotic moment.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Brandon Royval +105  (Moneyline)

Odds: +105 

Confidence Rating: 1.00 Units (Low-Risk Exposure)

Fight 2: Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai-Kara France

Result: Alexandre Pantoja defeated Kai-Kara France by submission in Round 3.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

The flyweight title is on the line as reigning champ Alexandre Pantoja defends against top contender Kai Kara-France — a rematch packed with high-stakes pressure and contrasting styles.

Pantoja (27-5) is one of the most relentless grapplers in the UFC. The champ averages 1.92 takedowns per 15 minutes, attempts over 3 submissions per fight, and owns dominant wins over names like Brandon Royval, Manel Kape, and Kara-France himself. His last title defense showed how dangerous his back control and cardio are — he doesn’t fade, and once he gets a hook in, the round is likely his.

On the feet, he holds his own with a steady 4.25 SLpM, though he absorbs a bit more than he lands. But Pantoja’s weapon isn’t clean striking — it’s pressure, grit, and suffocating top control.

Kai Kara-France (25-11) is a sniper on the outside, landing 4.93 significant strikes per minute and boasting a strong 90% takedown defense. His best path is to keep the fight standing, use his speed and counters to win rounds, and avoid prolonged clinch exchanges. But he’s struggled with pressure-heavy grapplers in the past — notably being submitted by Pantoja in their 2019 fight.

Unless Kara-France can hurt Pantoja early or defend takedowns at a near-perfect clip, the champ’s grind-heavy approach likely wears him down again.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Alexandre Pantoja (Moneyline)

Odds: -250

Confidence Rating: 2.50 Unit (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 3: Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira

Result: Ilia Topuria defeated Charles Oliveira by KO/TKO in Round 1.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This high-stakes lightweight bout sets up as a calculated war, with both fighters disciplined enough to neutralize early threats. Ilia Topuria is undefeated at 15-0 with 13 finishes, but he’s shown composure and high fight IQ—averaging 5.30 significant strikes landed per minute while only absorbing 3.90. His 92% takedown defense makes him extremely difficult to control.

Charles Oliveira, the UFC’s all-time finish leader, has 21 submission wins and dangerous striking—landing 3.55 significant strikes per minute with 53% accuracy. While known for fast finishes, Oliveira has gone over 1.5 rounds in 4 of his last 6, especially against elite competition where he’s forced into deeper waters.

With both men capable of explosive moments but smart enough to respect each other’s weapons, this one is built to last beyond Round 1.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Over 1.5 Rounds -145

Odds: -145

Confidence Rating: 1.45 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	4.95 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 2 Losses
Net Profit	-1.45 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Cofidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night | June 21, 2025

These picks were released to members on June 18, 2025 at 9:15 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Muhammad Naimov vs. Bogdan Grad

Result: Muhammad Naimov defeats Bogdan Grad via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This is a dangerous spot for the favorite.

Muhammad Naimov (10-2) brings flashy movement and athleticism to the cage, but much of his success has come against lower-tier opposition. He lands just 2.67 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 35%, often relying on bursts rather than sustained volume. His takedown defense (66%) has also shown holes when pressured consistently. While he’s explosive early, his pace slows notably in rounds 2 and 3—something sharp bettors watch closely when big favorites are involved.

Enter Bogdan Grad (8-1), a promising underdog with the skill set to pull off the upset. He’s an aggressive striker who averages 4.21 significant strikes per minute with a 52% accuracy rate, and he’s shown solid pop in both hands. More importantly, Grad pressures well and throws in combination, which could force Naimov to retreat and neutralize his best offensive tools. Grad also defends takedowns at 78%, and he’s the more physically imposing fighter here.

If Grad can survive the first few minutes and keep the fight standing, he’ll start taking over with volume, body shots, and pressure. Naimov is talented but overvalued, and this line gives us a live dog in Grad at a juicy +220.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Bogdan Grad +220 (Moneyline)

Odds: +220

Confidence Rating: 1.00 Units (Low-Risk Exposure)

Fight 2: Rafael Fiziev vs. Ignacio Bahamondes

Result: Rafael Fiziev defeats Ignacio Bahamondes via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This matchup has “changing of the guard” written all over it.

Rafael Fiziev (12-3) is still dangerous with explosive Muay Thai and violent leg kicks, but injuries and recent losses have exposed cracks. He absorbs 4.94 significant strikes per minute and tends to slow as the fight wears on. His highlight finishes are undeniable, but he struggles against rangier fighters who manage distance and tempo.

Ignacio Bahamondes (15-5) brings exactly that. He’s 6’3” with an 80” reach, landing a sharp 7.07 significant strikes per minute at 48% accuracy. Bahamondes uses movement, combinations, and volume to dismantle opponents over time. He’s battle-tested and surging, with a style that forces opponents into uncomfortable rhythms.

Fiziev may land early, but Bahamondes’ consistent pressure and cardio give him the edge over three rounds. Look for Bahamondes to dictate pace, pile up points, and possibly pour it on late.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Ignacio Bahamondes -125 (Moneyline)

Odds: -125

Confidence Rating: 2.50 Unit (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 3: Jamahal Hill vs. Khalil Rountree Jr.

Result: Khalil Rountree Jr. defeats Jamahal Hill via unanimous decision (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Khalil Rountree enters this main event with momentum and knockout intentions. Known for his devastating Muay Thai, Rountree’s explosive power, sharp elbows, and vicious body kicks pose a serious threat to Jamahal Hill—especially against a fighter returning from a major Achilles injury.

While Hill boasts solid output (5.92 significant strikes per minute), his defense remains hittable, and Rountree’s patient stalking style sets traps that punish overcommitment. If Hill tries to control range with volume, he’ll have to expose his legs and body—areas Rountree attacks with surgical precision.

Rountree’s improved conditioning and mental focus have made him far more composed in high-pressure spots, and we’ve already seen how he can dismantle aggressive strikers who rely on rhythm and reach. Expect Khalil to chop Hill’s base early, walk him down behind tight guard, and unleash powerful flurries once Hill slows down.

This fight sets up perfectly for Rountree to land something brutal in the mid rounds and steal the show with a statement KO.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Khalil Roundtree -110 (Moneyline)

Odds: -110

Confidence Rating: 2.20 Units (Moderate Confidence)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	5.70 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 2 Losses
Net Profit	-1.50 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Confidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night | June 14, 2025

These picks were released to members on June 13, 2025 at 8:52 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato

Result:No Contest

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Paul Craig is known for his wild, submission-heavy style—but against composed pressure fighters, that style often collapses. Craig owns an impressive 12 career submissions, but his takedown accuracy is just 23%, and he absorbs 2.68 strikes per minute while offering minimal output in return (only 2.46 strikes landed per minute). He thrives when opponents play reckless, but Rodolfo Bellato is anything but.

Bellato lands 4.39 significant strikes per minute with a 50% accuracy rate and a solid 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes. More importantly, he maintains top position control without falling into submission traps—key against a guard-puller like Craig. Bellato’s ground awareness, combined with his explosive striking and smart pacing, creates a nightmare matchup for Craig, who’s struggled with opponents who pressure and avoid the mat on their terms.

Craig has been finished in 7 of his 8 career losses, including brutal TKOs from men who simply refused to play jiu-jitsu. Bellato fits that mold. With fresher legs, more tools, and far more consistent output, expect him to control the pace and punish Craig over time. Whether by late stoppage or dominant decision, Bellato is the sharper, safer side.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Rodolfo Bellato -425 (Moneyline)

Odds: -425

Confidence Rating: 4.25 Units (Max-Level Confidence)

Fight 2: Rose Namajunas vs. Miranda Maverick

Result: Rose Namajunas defeats Miranda Maverick by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) 

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This co-main event is a pivotal clash between a former strawweight queen and a rising flyweight contender. Rose Namajunas brings championship-level experience, fluid movement, and elite-level timing to the table. Though she’s had setbacks at flyweight, her striking remains slick—landing 3.70 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 3.83. What sets her apart is her ability to adjust mid-fight and dictate range, something Maverick has historically struggled with against higher-level opponents.

Miranda Maverick is tough, physically strong, and well-rounded. She lands 3.81 significant strikes per minute and averages 2.50 takedowns per 15 minutes with solid top control. However, Maverick’s striking is more functional than dangerous, and her entries can be predictable. Against a savvy veteran like Rose, those patterns can be exploited with counters, pivots, and angles.

Rose has faced far stiffer competition and knows how to survive adversity. While Maverick’s grappling is a concern, Namajunas has solid takedown defense (60%) and high-level submission awareness off her back. If Rose keeps it standing and maintains distance, she should outclass Maverick over three rounds.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Rose Namajunas -250 (Moneyline)

Odds: -250

Confidence Rating: 2.50 Unit (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 3: Kamaru Usman vs. Joaquin Buckley

Result: Kamaru Usman defeats Joaquin Buckley by unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 48-47) 

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This isn’t the same Kamaru Usman who dominated welterweights for years. Now 38, riding a 3-fight losing streak, and stepping up a weight class without a full camp, Usman is facing a surging contender with real momentum in Joaquin Buckley.

Buckley is younger, faster, and fully adapted to the 170-pound division. Since moving down, he’s posted back-to-back wins and showcased improved pacing, shot selection, and defensive wrestling. He lands 3.74 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing 2.95, and he brings explosive power into every exchange. In contrast, Usman has slowed noticeably—his output has dipped to 3.96 strikes landed per minute, and he absorbed 104 total strikes in his loss to Leon Edwards.

Usman’s wrestling, once his signature, is no longer a guaranteed weapon. He hasn’t landed a takedown in his last three fights and is now relying more on a jab and pressure style that Buckley’s footwork and lateral movement are designed to counter. Buckley owns a 90% takedown defense rate since dropping to welterweight, and if he keeps this upright, he’s the fresher, more dangerous fighter.

This fight comes down to timing—Buckley is surging, and Usman is fading. Expect Buckley to defend early wrestling attempts, land the cleaner shots, and either pile up damage over five rounds or score a statement finish.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Joaquin Buckley -285 (Moneyline)

Odds: -285

Confidence Rating: 2.85 Units (Moderate Confidence)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	5.35 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 1 Loss
Net Profit	-1.85 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Confidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC 316 | June 7, 2025

These picks were released to members on June 4, 2025 at 9:30 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Joshua Van vs. Bruno Silva

Result: Joshua Van defeats Bruno Silva by TKO, Round 3.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Joshua Van is quietly emerging as one of the most calculated young talents in the flyweight division. Averaging 6.74 significant strikes per minute at a crisp 54% accuracy, Van brings a clean, technical striking style that outpaces Bruno Silva’s more explosive but inconsistent output. Silva lands 3.69 significant strikes per minute and absorbs nearly 4.18, often relying on power shots and wild flurries that leave openings for counters.

While Silva holds the edge in experience and finishes (6 UFC wins, 3 by KO), he’s struggled when opponents stay disciplined and deny his grappling setups. Van boasts 75% takedown defense, making it difficult for Silva to shift momentum with control time or top pressure. If Van keeps this on the feet, he has a strong path to land clean combinations, manage range, and control the tempo.

Expect Van to stay one step ahead, avoid extended brawls, and pick Silva apart over three rounds with sharp footwork and precision. Against a durable opponent like Silva who hasn’t been finished since 2018, the value lies in Van by Decision.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Joshua Van by Decision/Technical Decision

Odds: -110

Confidence Rating: 1.10 Units (Low-Risk Exposure)

Fight 2: Julianna Peña vs. Kayla Harrison 

Result: Kayla Harrison defeated Julianna Peña by submission 

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This is a clash of styles between grit and dominance—and both women are tough enough to drag this into deep waters. Julianna Peña is no stranger to five-round wars, with 3 of her last 5 fights going to decision. She absorbs 4.05 significant strikes per minute, but stays in fights with relentless pressure and underrated cardio. Peña’s grappling-heavy style results in 2.33 takedowns per 15 minutes, and she thrives in grinding, position-focused exchanges.

Kayla Harrison, meanwhile, is a two-time Olympic gold medalist in judo and brings elite-level grappling to the Octagon. In her PFL run, she dominated with top control but didn’t always chase quick finishes. She averages over 4.50 takedowns per 15 minutes and often racks up control time rather than risking scrambles. Harrison’s pace tends to slow slightly in later rounds, but her positional discipline keeps her safe from counters or desperation submissions.

Both fighters are extremely durable. Peña has never been finished by strikes in her UFC career, and Harrison has yet to show vulnerability against elite competition. Given Harrison’s likely control-based gameplan and Peña’s ability to survive and make fights ugly, this bout is built for attrition—not a quick finish.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Fight to go the distance

Odds: +165

Confidence Rating: 1.00 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

Fight 3: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O'Malley 2

Result: Merab Dvalishvili defeated Sean O'Malley by submission 

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

In his first bantamweight title defense, Merab Dvalishvili looks to do what he always does—break opponents with pressure, pace, and overwhelming wrestling volume. Now the reigning champion, Merab leads the UFC with 7.6 takedowns per 15 minutes and has attempted more takedowns than any fighter in the division’s history. His cardio is elite, and his style is built for five-round dominance—not flash finishes.

Sean O’Malley, the former champ, will bring the slicker striking and sharper footwork to this matchup. He lands 6.86 significant strikes per minute and boasts a 61% striking accuracy rate, but that offense fades fast when he’s fighting off his back foot. Against a pressure grappler like Merab, O’Malley’s 61% takedown defense becomes a liability over 25 minutes.

Dvalishvili has gone to decision in 8 of his last 10 UFC wins and isn’t a finisher—he’s a round-stealer. His control time, chain wrestling, and relentless pressure are designed to win minutes and drain willpower. O’Malley is hard to put away and rarely gets caught in submissions, which makes the most likely outcome another 5-round Merab grind session.

This isn’t just a title defense—it’s a pace test. And nobody outpaces Merab. Expect a dominant decision win built on pressure, takedowns, and top control.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Merab Dvalishvili -250 (Moneyline)

Odds: -250

Confidence Rating: 5.00 Units (Max-Level Confidence)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	7.10 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 2 Losses
Net Profit	-.10 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Confidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight | Night May 31, 2025

These picks were released to members on May 28, 2025 at 4:05 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Ketlen Vieria vs. Macy Chiasson

Result: Ketlen Vieria defeats Macy Chiasson by Unanimous Decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Ketlen Vieira (14–4) is a strong grappler with black belts in BJJ and Judo, but her striking output is sluggish and often gets her tagged. She averages just 2.59 significant strikes per minute with 38% accuracy and absorbs over 4 per minute in return. Her ground game is solid, with 1.60 takedowns per 15 minutes and elite 92% takedown defense, but she’s been outworked and outpaced by sharper, more aggressive fighters—exactly the kind Macy Chiasson brings to the cage.

Chiasson (11–3) is a problem when she’s pressing forward. With a 72” reach and a background as a Krav Maga instructor, she doesn’t just outpoint opponents—she hunts them down. Landing 4.16 significant strikes per minute with 47% accuracy and seven finishes on her résumé, Chiasson thrives in chaos. If she keeps this off the mat, her killer instinct, volume, and raw power will break Vieira down and force a stoppage or a one-sided decision. 

She’s got the tools, the mindset, and the grit to get it done.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Macy Chiasson -120 (Moneyline)

Odds: -120

Confidence Rating: 2.40 Units (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 2: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ludovit Klein

Result: Mateusz Gamrot defeats Ludovit Klein by Unanimous Decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Mateusz Gamrot (24–3, 1 NC) is a pressure machine with world-class wrestling and relentless cardio that breaks opponents down over time. Averaging 5.25 takedowns per 15 minutes with 90% takedown defense, “Gamer” turns every fight into a grind. He lands 3.23 significant strikes per minute with 50% accuracy, and while he’s not a pure knockout artist, his constant movement and chain wrestling smother the offense of anyone across from him. Against top-tier names like Rafael dos Anjos and Rafael Fiziev, Gamrot has shown he can neutralize high-level strikers and drown them with volume, pace, and ground control.

Ľudovít Klein (23–4–1) is slick, fast, and dangerous in space, but he’s not built for the kind of trench warfare Gamrot brings. Klein lands 3.81 significant strikes per minute with a sharp 54% accuracy, but he’s been outgrappled before and will struggle to maintain range here. Even with solid takedown defense (91%), he hasn’t faced anyone with Gamrot’s nonstop pace and mat control. Expect Gamrot to close the distance early, drag Klein into deep waters, and dominate with takedowns, scrambles, and top pressure. This is a classic grind-you-out matchup, and Gamrot lives for it.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Mateusz Gamrot by Decision/Technical Decision

Odds: -120

Confidence Rating: 1.20 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

Fight 3: Erin Blanchfield vs. Maycee Barber

Result: Bout Canceled

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Erin Blanchfield (13–2) is a rising force in the flyweight division—calculated, relentless, and cold-blooded on the mat. Averaging 5.24 significant strikes per minute and landing takedowns at a 76% clip, Blanchfield isn’t just a grappler—she’s a suffocating tactician who breaks opponents down round by round. Her 86% takedown defense and 1.1 submissions per 15 minutes prove she’s just as dangerous off her back as she is on top. Wins over top-tier talent like Jessica Andrade and Taila Santos weren’t flukes—Blanchfield thrives under pressure and doesn’t fade late. She may not have Barber’s highlight-reel power, but she brings the kind of grind that drowns hype trains.

Maycee Barber (14–2) has power, swagger, and a six-fight win streak—but she’s stepping into the cage with someone who won’t give her space to breathe. Barber lands 3.81 significant strikes per minute and defends takedowns at 91%, but she hasn’t faced someone with Blanchfield’s relentless chain wrestling and fight IQ. If Barber can’t stuff the early attempts or make Blanchfield respect her power, she’s going to get dragged into deep water she can’t swim in. 

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Fight to go the Distance – NO

Odds: -235

Confidence Rating: 2.35 Units (Moderate Confidence)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	3.60 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 1 Loss
Net Profit	-1.40 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Confidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night | May 17, 2025

These picks were released to members on May 16, 2025 at 5:10 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Jared Gordon vs. Thiago Moisés

Result: Jared Gordon def. Thiago Moisés by KO, Round 1.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This matchup pits Gordon’s relentless pace against Moisés’s submission threat. Gordon lands a sharp 5.75 significant strikes per minute at 55% accuracy, nearly doubling Moisés’s output (2.50 SLpM, 41%). On the ground, Gordon owns a solid 63% takedown defense, which he’ll need to stuff Moisés’s attempts to drag this fight into submission territory—where he owns 8 career tapouts. Gordon’s volume, cardio, and pressure are built to overwhelm Moisés before he can find a grappling opening. Expect Gordon to control the tempo, rack up strikes, and shut down Moisés’s submission game.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Jared Gordon -120 (Moneyline)

Odds: -120

Confidence Rating: 2.20 Units (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 2: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Paul Craig

Result: Bout Cancelled 

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Bellato brings sharp volume striking (6.47 SLpM, 62% accuracy) and strong takedown defense (100%) into a chess match with Craig, a submission specialist with 13 career subs. Bellato prefers to pick opponents apart at range, while Craig takes time to pull fights into his grappling world. Neither man is a fast starter—Craig often weathers early shots before attacking, and Bellato’s finishes typically come in Round 2 or later.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Over 1.5 Rounds

Odds: +100

Confidence Rating: 1.0 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

Fight 3: Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales

Result: Michael Morales defeats Gilbert Burns by TKO Round 1

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Burns hunts subs. Morales hunts knockouts. Either way—this won’t last five. Michael Morales throws heat, landing 5.42 SLpM with 12 KO wins, while Gilbert Burns brings dangerous hands, relentless pressure, and 9 career submissions. Morales pushes a fast pace, and Burns thrives in chaos—either landing bombs or dragging opponents into deep water. Neither man is built to coast through five rounds, making a finish the most likely outcome.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Fight Goes the Distance – NO

Odds: -235

Confidence Rating: 2.35 Units (Moderate Confidence)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	3.35 Units
Fight Record	2 Wins
Net Profit	+2.0 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Confidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC 315 | May 10, 2025

These picks were released to members on May 9, 2025 at 5:00 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena

Result: Jack Della Maddalena defeats Belal Muhammad by Unanimous decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

In his first title defense, Belal Muhammad has the perfect opportunity to silence doubters and show he's championship material. While both fighters are dangerous in the stand-up, Della Maddalena's crisp boxing and slick footwork will test Belal early. However, the clearest and safest path to victory is on the ground. Look for Belal to close the distance, secure takedowns, and dominate with top control. Once on the mat, he'll smother Della Maddalena with ground-and-pound, piling on damage with punches and elbows. Expect a rinse-and-repeat strategy round after round, grinding out a dominant decision victory--or potentially a late stoppage if the pressure adds up.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Belal Muhammad -170 (Moneyline)

Odds: -170

Confidence Rating: 1.70 Units (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 2: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot

Result: Valentina Shevchenco defeats Manon Fiorot by Unanimous decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Valentina Shevchenko may be the underdog on the betting line, but she's still one of the most battle-tested and dangerous fighters in the division. With elite experience, precision striking, and a championship mindset, she's more than equipped to handle Manon Fiorot's forward pressure and clinch-heavy style. Fiorot thrives on controlling space and dictating tempo with short-range attacks--but Shevchenko's high fight IQ and superior timing will make that difficult to pull off. On the ground, Valentina has the grappling savvy to hold her own or even outwork Fiorot if it hits the mat. Oddsmakers missed the mark here--and I'm backing Shevchenko to prove it.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Valentina Shevchenko +125 (Moneyline)

Odds: +125

Confidence Rating: 1.0 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

Fight 3: Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva

Result: Natalia Silvia defeats Alexa Grasso by Unanimous decision.

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Alexa Grasso takes on surging contender Natalia Silva in what could steal the show as Fight of the Night. Both women possess elite striking, sharp footwork, and cardio that doesn't fade. While this matchup looks razor-close on paper, Grasso's edge in high-level experience sets her apart. She's fought--and beaten--better opponents, and that will matter in a tightly contested war. If Grasso can neutralize Silva's kicking game and dictate the pace, this fight becomes much closer than the odds suggest. This is a rare chance to back a proven former champion at plus money. This underdog bites--and cashes.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Alexa Grasso +200 (Moneyline)

Odds: +200

Confidence Rating: 1.0 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	3.70 Units
Fight Record	1 Win | 2 Losses
Net Profit	-1.45 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Cofidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Confidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com

Past Picks Recap: UFC Fight Night | May 3, 2025

These picks were released to members on May 2, 2025 at 6:00 PM PDT.

Unit size reflects confidence level.

View the FIGHTASTIC Betting Guide

Final Results:

Fight 1: Montel Jackson vs. Daniel Marcos

Result: Montel Jackson defeats  Daniel Marcos by Decision

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This ones set to be a firefight. Both men love to trade leather, but Montel Jackson has the sharper tools and stronger rsum. Hes fought and beaten higher-level competition than Marcos, and his significant strike accuracy outpaces what he absorbs something Marcos cant say. With Marcos tendency to get hit clean, Jacksons sniper-like stand-up gives him a solid shot to end it by KO/TKO. Lay the chalk.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Montel Jackson -225 (Moneyline)

Odds: -225

Confidence Rating: 2.25 Units (Moderate Confidence)

Fight 2: Reinier Ridder vs. Bo Nickal

Result: Reinier Ridder defeats Bo Nickal by TKO Round 2

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

This one could hit the mat early and often. While Bo Nickals wrestling is elite, Reinier De Ridder brings high-level submission chops and has finished 11 fights in Round 113 by submission overall. This is just De Ridders second UFC bout, but his resume outside the promotion is legit. At +300, theres too much value to ignore. This is a sharp spot for a live underdog who can flip the script in one mistake.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Reinier Ridder +300 (Moneyline)

Odds: +300

Confidence Rating: 1.0 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

Fight 3: Cory Sandhagen vs. Deiveson Figueiredo

Result: Cory Sandhagen defeats  Deiveson Figueiredo by TKO Round 2

FIGHTER MATCHUP ANALYSIS

The pick didn't hit. Cory Sandhagen got the win just like I predicted, though the finish came by unexpected means. A sharp exchange led to a freak injury that ended it at 4:08 of Round 2, resulting in a TKO. The method missed, but the read was on point.

FIGHTASTIC Pick: Cory Sandhagen -160 (Moneyline)

Odds: -160

Confidence Rating: 1.0 Unit (Low-Risk Exposure)

PAST WAGER SUMMARY

Summary Detail	Result
Units at Risk	3.0 Units
Fight Record	2 Wins | 1 Loss
Net Profit	+3.0 Units

CONFIDENCE UNIT GUIDE

Confidence Level	Units
Max-Level Cofidence	4 - 5 Units
Moderate Cofidence	2 - 3 Units
Low-Risk Exposure	0.5 - 1 Unit

© 2025 FIGHTASTIC LLC · Bet Smart. Not With Your Heart. · All Rights Reserved · fightastic.com